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defense

On the Patriots defensive front seven and specialization

January 19, 2011 by Mike Dussault

While I’ve been blogging about the Pats since the 2007 season this was the first time I really took the time to re-watch the games to try and crack the defensive code of what exactly the Patriots do on defense.

You can look over at the column on the right to see where I recorded snap percentages, my interpretations of defensive game plans, and a rough note of what formations were used. Look, I don’t claim that any of it is one hundred percent airtight accurate, but when you look at the entire body of work you start to understand a lot of things that most Patriots fans don’t see when they just watch the game once.

When you lack a lot of three down players in your front seven you have to become a team of specialization. What made previous Patriots teams so good was that players like Mike Vrabel, Willie McGinest, and Richard Seymour were so versatile they could play every down, pass or run. The fact that they were big, physical players certainly helped.

Now the Patriots lack players like that, outside of Jerod Mayo, Vince Wilfork and maybe Gerard Warren who was versatile more out of necessity due to injuries than being  versatile. While Jermaine Cunningham could project as a three down OLB down the road, there doesn’t appear to be much more versatility in the defensive front seven. You can go right down the line and categorize every other player as a run or pass player.

Of course there will always be specialists. Ted Johnson was the Brandon Spikes of old. Roman Phifer was the Gary Guyton of old. But really where you’d love to have the versatility is with your defensive ends and outside linebackers, who can hopefully be interchangeable to some extent.

Much is made that the Pats play a 3-4 defense and that influences what players they’ll consider when drafting. Well there’s a lot more to it than that.

  • This overall Patriots system, which is much more than just a 3-4 defense, requires intelligent players who understand how to read and react. 
  • Players who can only get upfield are not ideal fits.
  • Lineman need to be able to hold their ground against multiple blockers. That is priority one.
  • OLBs must must must be able to drop into coverage.

So while everyone’s talking about needing an outside linebacker or defensive end, take into consideration that versatility is really the key ingredient especially when you’re talking about first or second round picks.

Jermaine Cunningham didn’t exactly light the world on fire in 2010, but he was solid in both the run game and pass game, playing what is arguably the hardest position to play in the Patriots defense as a rookie. Look for a big jump from him in 2011.

Similar to the tight ends on the other side of the ball, the OLBs must be physical enough to hold their ground and defeat tackles, while also having the agility to jam and cover tight ends. So it’s not really a secret why the Pats haven’t been able to find the next Vrabel or McGinest yet. Those players don’t grow on trees.

The Pats were only in their 3-4 defense for less than half the snaps of 2010 as again, it’s really only used to stop the run. So it’s important to consider their nickel and dime defenses when considering what personnel to add.

The problem with the sub defenses arose again from their lack of versatility in the defensive front seven. Because their sub package lineman like Mike Wright, Myron Pryor, and later Landon Cohen were much more suited for pass rush the Pats were often victimized by sub runs. Of course the injuries to Wright and Pryor magnified the problem. And a player like Ty Warren would’ve been a big help in those regards. Let’s remember Vince Wilfork wasn’t a three down lineman until this year.

The other problem with so much specialization is that it hurts how much disguise you can do. If TBC was in the game, teams knew the Pats were less prepared to stop the run. If Rob Ninkovich was in they knew the Pats were thinking run.

One area of specialization that I would like to touch on is that of the DPR (designated pass rusher). When most people say the Pats need to address OLB in the draft what they’re really talking about is a DPR. They want someone who’s sole job is to get after the quarterback. 

This year, with so many draft picks I think BB should really consider spending a high pick on someone who might not have the coverage skills yet to play OLB, but is relentless getting after the quarterback. 

When you look at the DPRs from 2010 you had Cunningham, Shawn Crable, then finally Eric Moore. Tully Banta-Cain could fall into this category as well, though the others stayed only in that role when they had it (cunningham obviously moved on the playing some 3-4 OLB). Hand-down as a left defensive end in nickel and dime packages. We all know the Patriots struggles with getting after the quarterback, I think the time is now to address this spot once and for all.

So as you begin to read mock drafts and research the draft take all this into consideration. Think about everything that a potential player will do for the Patriots. Will he just be a DPR, or is he a four down player like Devin McCourty?

This draft is an important one. As I’ve said since last year the 2011 draft will be a huge part of setting up another dynastic run.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: defense, new england patriots, Specialization

Let’s talk about sacks. (Patriots Style)

December 21, 2010 by Mike Dussault

Before this season started I did this little sack analysis which came to the conclusion that the goal to hit for season sacks is 40. In the five best seasons of the 2000’s (‘01, ’03, ’04, ’06, ’07) the Pats broke that plateau every time, but lately they’ve been in the low 30s.

Now I know this doesn’t include numbers like QB hits and pressures, so take it for what it is worth. I also don’t necessarily believe that higher sack numbers mean a better defense.

For example the 2007 team had six more sacks than the 2003 team and I think we can all agree the 2003 team was probably the best defense of the decade.

Regardless the Patriots now stand at 28 sacks with two games to play, good for eighteenth in the NFL.  It’s likely they will surpass their totals from the past two seasons (31, 31), so at least early on it appears the pass rush did improve somewhat this year.

When you take into account they’ve been without their two best interior rushers for the hardest stretch it’s even a little more impressive.

But it remains clear this team still lacks a feared pass rusher. TBC and his big head don’t need to be game-planned around. 

Right now the Patriots are a team of specialization, but lack a three down linebacker other than Jerod Mayo. The current pass rush specialist is Eric Moore, after stints of seeing Jermaine Cunningham and Shawn Crable in that role, and he’s looked harder to block than either of his predecessors. Perhaps the Pats could be onto something with him like the Dolphins got with Cameron Wake.

If you’d like to see an in-depth analysis of the sacks from the Packers game check out this great article by Richard Hill. 

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: defense, new england patriots, sacks, Tully Banta-Cain

Patriots Defense 8th in Bendability, Low 20s in Everything Else

December 15, 2010 by Mike Dussault

The favorite quote mentioned by Patriots fans when people bag on our defense is that it’s a “bend don’t break” style. So yeah, we give up a lot of yards and first downs (i.e. the bend part which feels like we’re getting bent over and violated) before buttoning up when it counts most and holding teams to field goals or no points.

Cold Hard Football Facts has the Pats at 8th overall in Bendability which is just about the only stat I can find out there that gives any sort of a warm, fuzzy feeling about the defense. Even when you look at red zone defense, which should probably also be pretty good if you’re not “breaking”, the Pats are ranked 24th.

Everywhere else you look at stats for the Pats D and they’re not good. The closest thing I can find where they aren’t in the 20s is Defensive Passer Rating where they’re ranked 19th.

In their all-important Defensive Hog index, which CHFF says is the best stat to predict Super Bowl success, the Pats are ranked 27th.

So yes, I know stats are for losers, and the numbers have been getting better over the past few weeks, but let’s not start planning the Super Bowl parade just yet.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Cold Hard Football Facts, defense, new england patriots

Patriots Defensive Observations

December 13, 2010 by Mike Dussault

Some notes and such on the Patriots defense following the re-watch of the Bears game.

– Jarrad Page was out there a lot, over Brandon Meriweather in some cases. Once Devin McCourty was lost half way through the second quarter there was some juggling so it’s hard to say exactly what the depth chart situation is. But it’s clear that the coaches like Page and he’s getting more and more play time every week. He did have a blown coverage and missed tackle in the second half, but pretty much any defender who played a lot in those conditions did as well. 

– Maybe Meriweather just doesn’t play well in the cold? Sounds stupid but his reduction in playing time was definitely notable as he had re-emerged as an every down player as of late. 

– Patrick Chung had more time in the slot but seemed to do a better job than he had in the last few games. He was reacting quick and getting to the ball. He should be back to 100% by the playoffs.

– There were times when the Patriots had 4 safeties on the field. Clearly they need to get healthy at cornerback.

– Early reports via Gresh and Zo were that Devin McCourty wouldn’t miss a game with his rib injury. It looked like the injury happened on the play where he forced the fumble. Didn’t look like a major collision or anything. If it’s anything serious I’d be pretty surprised, would have to be a freak thing in that case, and it sounds like McCourty isn’t the kind of player who suffers freak injuries.

– Ron Brace saw time at nose tackle for the first time this season and looked fast and strong off the ball. He also got some time as an interior rusher next to Vince Wilfork. With Myron Pryor and Mike Wright out Brace got a chance to do some pass rushing, in the past it had been Kyle Love and Gerard Warren doing it so it’s a positive sign that Brace is improving. You can never have too many big strong defensive lineman, and with Brace playing well it really bodes well for the future.

– Kyle Arrington had a very solid game against the Bears, might come down to him or Dan Connolly for the 12th man award.

– As I kind of expected the lack of Brandon Spikes didn’t really mean much for Dane Fletcher. Fletcher has been primarily a passing down linebacker, and it looks like Eric Moore showed enough in his first week to get some looks as the designated pass rusher opposite Tully Banta-Cain in nickel and dime packages. Moore made some good plays, so I expect we’ll see more of him. If he can bring some consistent pass rush it would be a great addition.

– The Patriots lost their top sack player (Mike Wright) and haven’t lost a game. Pretty impressive considering how much people bag on our pass rush. When he/Pryor get back it should give the defense even more of a boost, especially because their legs should be fresh.

– Great day for Gary Guyton. If had been since the opener versus the Bengals when he last made a big play and in this game he made two. Hopefully he can continue to ascend. Given it’s his third year he really should be starting to hit his stride.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: defense, devin mccourty, new england patriots, Ron Brace

December 8, 2010 by Mike Dussault


Patriots Defensive Back Snap % Graph

Interesting trends to note…

Butler and Page get increased playtime against Jets, eats into Sanders and Chung’s snaps. Chung had been the nickelback replacement for Jonthan Wilhite but Butler was inserted against the Jets and did a pretty good job. We’ve noticed all along that straight up coverage is not Chung’s strength and he was picked on against the Colts and Lions.

Meriweather, Arrington and McCourty remain the ironmen of the defensive backs, playing almost every snap.

Chung and Page’s return to health has also taken every snap from Sergio Brown.

https://www.patspropaganda.com/patriots-defensive-back-snap-graph-interesting/

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: defense, Defensive Backs, devin mccourty, new england patriots, Secondary

Building a Defensive Game Plan For the Patriots to Stop the Jets

December 2, 2010 by Mike Dussault

Over the course of these season we’ve charted the defensive game plans and defensive packages the New England Patriots have used. This has been an insightful lesson into what the Patriots do and who they do it with.

This week against the New York Jets the Patriots are presented with some unique challenges. Based on the fact that top interior rushers Mike Wright and Myron Pryor, as well as top nickel corner Jonathan Wilhite missed Thursday practice it’s very possible that the Pats will be without the services of all three.

Of course it’s impossible to predict what Bill Belichick will do, but here’s our best crack at it.

The Patriots were in their base 3-4 defense for 66% of the snaps in week two and I’d bet they will stick to a similar plan on first and second down. I expect this will be the run-stopping personnel:

  • Brace – Wilfork – Warren
  • Ninkovich – Spikes – Mayo – Cunningham
  • McCourty – Meriweather – Sanders – Arrington

Brandon Deaderick should be well rested so expect to see plenty of him on the defensive line as well. Vince Wilfork was used in every spot on the line the first time around, expect that to happen again, especially with Kyle Love’s progression at nose tackle.

The Jets didn’t see much of Cunningham in week two, that is another difference that hasn’t gotten much mention this week. Brandon Spikes will have to be on his toes for play action passes, that has been one of his biggest challenges in his progression.

McCourty will take on Santonio Holmes, while Arrington will take Braylon Edwards.

On third down (short – medium) the Pats will have to get a little creative since with the injuries to Wright, Pryor and Wilhite. I expect the personnel to look like this:

  • Cunningham – Wilfork – Love – Banta-Cain
  • Guyton – Mayo
  • McCourty – Meriweather – Sanders – Chung – Arrington

Wilfork and Love maintain a presence versus the run as the Jets did have some success on the ground the first time around against the Pats sub-packages.

I see the coverage match-ups as so:

  • McCourty – Holmes
  • Arrington – Edwards
  • Chung – Cotchery
  • Guyton – Keller
  • Mayo – Tomlinson

In third and longs, with a lesser threat of a run, the Patriots could bring in Darius Butler and Dane Fletcher for a dime package that looks as such:

  • Cunningham – Love – Banta-Cain
  • Fletcher – Mayo – Guyton
  • McCourty – Arrington – Meriweather – Sanders – Chung – Butler

Arrington has been used as a blitzer from this package and that’s a wrinkle the Pats could throw at Mark Sanchez. Fletcher can be used as a spy on both Sanchez or Ladainian Tomlinson, and could even be employed in the nickel package in such a role should the Pats reduce to three lineman. He will also blitz at times.

The thought of Butler lining up on Edwards could bring horrible flashbacks from week two, hopefully he’d be up to the challenge.

If the Patriots are missing their top two interior rushers in Pryor and Wright it will certainly put pressure on Gerard Warren (who had a good game week two), Deaderick, Love and Wilfork to generate some pressure up the middle on Sanchez. If he’s allowed to sit on “the spot” and get comfortable he will pick the Patriots secondary apart like most teams have this season.

Based on the game tape they’ve seen, it’s probably a somewhat safe assumption that the Jets are expecting similar personnel packages as I’ve laid out here. Of course the execution of coverages and disguises are what truly make a defense work, and that will be in the hands of the Patriots coaching staff and their players.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: 3-4, defense, new england patriots, new york jets

A Closer Look at the 2010 Patriots Defense (Halfway Edition)

November 12, 2010 by Mike Dussault

This season I’ve dedicated myself to focusing on the defensive personnel and strategy that the Patriots are using. I’ve kept track of formations. I’ve charted snap percentages. And I’ve enjoyed every minute of it. 

It has been an education and I’m happy to share some attempted insight at just what the Patriots have tried to do on defense that has left them with a 6-2 record, yet a poorly ranked defense.

I bust out the defensive snap percentage charts and provide a break down of the three levels of the Belichick 2.0 Pats Defense after the jump…

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: defense, devin mccourty, jerod mayo, new england patriots, patrick chung

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