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2013 playoffs

Notes on the AFCCG Re-Watch (Finally)

February 5, 2014 by Mike Dussault

Now that the season is over I finally made myself sit down and rewatch all of the AFCCG. If there’s one thing about All-22 game film, it really takes the emotion out of it. It’s still kind of strange when watching particular plays and remembering moments of false hope that I might’ve had.

The headline? The Pats just didn’t come to play in this one. It’s sad and really somewhat surprising, given that they usually put up a much better fight. But the whole team looked tired. They weren’t making the big plays. And in the big moments they could not execute.

Maybe it was the Denver air, maybe they were just happy to have made it to the AFCCG, but they couldn’t do much of anything and looked flat while watching the Broncos make every little play and fight for every extra yard.

I’ll have to go back and watch the Ravens game next so I can enter the offseason with a good taste in my mouth. Still, this didn’t take anything away from the 2013 team. The took as far (or really further) than anyone could’ve expected.

Some notes:

– Would’ve liked to have seen more of Ridley in this one. He was making something out of nothing like he often did during the season. I think they put everything on Vereen a little too soon.

– Don’t think I can remember Alfonzo Dennard getting eaten alive like he was in this one. Faced with Demaryius Thomas he gave up five catches on seven targets for 90 yards. I like Dennard, but let’s not pencil him in as a #1 corner.

– Don’t want to overreact to one game but Ryan Wendell was dominated by Terrence Knighton.PFF graded him out at a -3.9. Wendell is a free agent, I’m not sure I can realistically argue he has a long-term future at center for the Pats.

– PFF totaled 10 missed tackles for the Pats defense. That sums it up right there. Chandler Jones had one of the worst ones that would’ve been a tackle for loss and ended up going for seven yards.

– Brady was off in this one. I thought he could’ve had Matthew Slater on the second possession deep throw but he underthrew him. Maybe it was the Denver air, but his accuracy was off. The missed one to Edelman was also pretty bad.

– Saw a lot of the same old thing we always see against the Pats – Cover 1 with no respect for the deep ball.

– I like Chris Jones and think he’ll be a good part of a rotation in 2014, but he was out of place getting asked to play 74 snaps in this one. Aside from a drawn holding call, he was essentially a non-factor.

– Speaking of non-factors I didn’t see much of anything out of Steve Gregory. I know he was praised as one of the smartest guys in the secondary, but I’m starting to think there has to be a way to upgrade him, especially considering how expensive he’ll be in 2014.

– Dont’a Hightower was one of the few guys to show up in this one. I feel pretty good about him moving to middle linebacker next year, we’ll see how that plays out.

Overall I think the 2013 Pats gave everything they had but in the end, they just didn’t have the horses to go into Denver and pull off the upset. It just sucks that they didn’t bring much fire or compete to the game. Seemed like they were fighting themselves as much as they were fighting the Broncos. Every offensive drive lacked pace and rhythm, most noticeably on a fake end around to Edelman where Brady overthrew Dobson by a mile.

In those key moments that decide the game, the Pats never came up with the big play they needed to and the Broncos did. The failed two-point conversion is a perfect example of that.

The 2014 Pats will look a lot different than the team that finished the season in Denver. It should be an interesting offseason as always. There are good pieces in place, but still a lot of refining to be done at almost every position.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: 2013 playoffs, analysis, broncos, patriots

Patriots Take 2: Lack of weapons, running game among reasons for loss to Broncos – Going Deep – Boston.com

January 22, 2014 by Mike Dussault

Patriots Take 2: Lack of weapons, running game among reasons for loss to Broncos – Going Deep – Boston.com

Great breakdown from Frenz, a definite must-read and likely the last thing we’ll have to say about the Broncos game. Because how many different ways can you say “we done got dominated”?

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: 2013 AFC Championship, 2013 playoffs, broncos, patriots

FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: AFC Divisional Round Preview

January 10, 2014 by Mike Dussault

FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: AFC Divisional Round Preview

Nice long preview here with all the DVOA goodness…

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: 2013 playoffs, colts, patriots

Bill Barnwell on the NFL playoffs – Grantland

January 9, 2014 by Mike Dussault

Bill Barnwell on the NFL playoffs – Grantland

Really good preview from Bill Barnwell. It’s rare that national guys know the Patriots as well as Barnwell clearly does (is he a Pats fan?). Below he hits on what I’ve been saying about this Patriots defense for two years now…

Belichick might be the greatest defensive mind of his generation, but even he needs a few players to piece together some sort of competent defense. New England’s defense has fallen apart as the season has gone along, and there’s little reason to think it will get better. The Patriots ranked 10th in defensive DVOA during the first half of the season, but after their Week 10 bye, they had the league’s fifth-worst defensive DVOA. Their run defense was already bad and stayed that way, but their pass defense really fell off, dropping from eighth in the first half to 24th in the second half. The reasons why are staring you in the face within that table above, but one of the manifestations of this subpar defense was a lack of turnovers. The Patriots forced a takeaway in each of their games before the bye, eventually accruing 19 in nine games, an average of 2.1 per contest. After the bye, they struggled to force turnovers at the same rate. Although they finished with 10 in seven contests, that included two games with four takeaways each against the Broncos and Ravens. They had three games without forcing a single turnover, games that resulted in a loss to Carolina, a miraculous comeback victory over Cleveland, and a Week 17 win over Buffalo. The Patriots finished 13th in takeaway rate after finishing in the top three each of the last three seasons. The Patriots were 24th in forcing three-and-outs and were a league-average defense in the red zone; if they don’t force takeaways, they struggle to get off the field.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: 2013 playoffs, colts, new england patriots

January 8, 2014 by Mike Dussault

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KM-k-1po9So

Divisional Playoffs: Colts at Patriots preview (by CBSSports)

(Source: http://www.youtube.com/)

https://www.patspropaganda.com/divisional-playoffs-colts-at-patriots-preview-by/

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: 2013 playoffs, colts, patriots

Colts will refocus on turnovers following outing against Chiefs – Extra Points – Boston.com

January 7, 2014 by Mike Dussault

Colts will refocus on turnovers following outing against Chiefs – Extra Points – Boston.com

Not to oversimplify it, but if the Colts don’t turn the ball over it’s pretty likely the game will come down to the very end. Based on what we’ve seen out of this Patriots defense the last four seasons, they thrive off turnovers. 

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: 2013 playoffs

Andrew Luck poses versatile threat to New England Patriots | masslive.com

January 6, 2014 by Mike Dussault

Andrew Luck poses versatile threat to New England Patriots | masslive.com

Good stuff…

New England needs to be careful in how they create those opportunities, as Luck completed 53.7 percent of his passes for 1,184 yards with nine touchdowns and three interceptions this season when blitzed. So perhaps the best way to attack him is with a standard four-man rush with someone spying him to make sure he stays in the pocket. But either way, the Indianapolis quarterback has proven that he will be a worthy adversary for Tom Brady this weekend. Which is how the Patriots seem to be approaching this game.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: 2013 playoffs

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