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Patriots vs. Jets All-22 Thoughts: Offense Edition

October 22, 2014 by Mike Dussault

The Jets never make things easy for the Pats offense and this game was no exception. Featuring a good deal of Cover 3, the Jets played fairly conservative this time around, but when they picked up the pressure in the second half they had some success.

The difference though was Tom Brady, who was calm in the face of pressure all night, delivering strikes to the holes in the zones with remarkable consistency.

Here are my notes from the All-22 rewatch, offense edition:

Jets opened in off-man coverage and Brady-LaFell took advantage with two comeback routes in a row. Brady’s passes were a little high though. 

Jets were in a Cover-3 on Vereen’s first touchdown with five guys across the field at about five yards depth. Seemed like they would allow the short stuff then plan on coming downhill with big hits. The problem – the back left safety bit on Wright underneath leaving Vereen wide open. Big mental mistake, and one that really came back to haunt the Jets at the end.

 Second possession was a three-and-out but a nice hard run by Jonas Grey. Third down saw the same kind of coverage as Vereen’s touchdown, with the Jets dropping 7 in zone coverage. It seems like the Jets were also a little more respectful of the Pats deep passing game than they have been in year’s past. And certainly more than other opponents have been earlier this year.

Really vanilla coverages and not much aggression by the Jets so far. Has to be due to their lack of good cover corners. They’re playing some man on the Pats’ third possession but it’s off-man that’s supported with underneath zone coverage.

Here’s the Jets’ third down zone coverage, only rushing three. This one goes incomplete downfield to LaFell for the Pats second-straight three and out.

Jets send five guys on the first play of the fourth drive, but the protection holds and Brady easily lofts a perfect pass to Edelman for their first first down in three possessions.

The Jets’ zone coverage continues to work well early as Brady has a pass deflected at the line on second down. However there isn’t much pressure so it seems like Brady is finding a comfort level in the pocket.

Same coverage on third down and Brady finally finds the hole in the coverage, connecting with Gronk for a first down. Pinpoint throw, solid pocket. Drive continues…

Play-action comes next and the Jets pay for it because their linebackers aren’t dropping this time. Brady finds LaFell, showing good patience under a bit of pressure. As of now, the Jets defense certainly isn’t in his head like they often can be.

Gotta tip the hat to the pass protection so far. Those are some good rushers and Brady has all the time he needs. I think the Jets wanted to just rely on their guys winning the matchups instead of the usual deception of “who’s coming, who’s dropping”. They weren’t winning against our rag tag band of OL anti-heroes.

As Greg Bedard pointed out in his film review Jordan Devey has to have better awareness after just sprinting downfield, not realizing that the called screen to Shane Vereen had been blown up. Inexperience shows there.

Vereen’s second touchdown below and as you can see, the Jets drop 9 into coverage including four guys around Gronk. Brady waits and finds Vereen for the TD.

Brady really found his stride against the Jets zones on this drive, calmly taking his time and delivering pinpoint throws to the holes in the zones.

Final drive of the first half and the Jets start to send some more pressure, blitzing Davis and dropping Richardson into a short zone. Finally some more Rex-like defense. Then comes an LB/S blitz on the next down but Brady finds LaFell for the first down.

Great throw by Brady on the next down with pressure in his face as he finds Gronk for 20 yards. Jets rushed just four but finally got Wilkerson through as he beat Devey.

After a PI call the Pats get a 1st-and-10 at the 12 with :23 second left. First down – Jets drop eight, Brady can’t find a hole. Second down – Jets get a free rusher off the edge, forcing Brady to scramble and throw it away. Then Devey takes the retalitory penalty and we’re kicking a field goal headed into the half. Missed opportunity there, but good defense by the Jets.

Linebacker blitzes are continuing in the second half, along with Sheldon Richardson dropping into short zones. Brady’s on in this one though.

Third-and-3 and we’re seeing two deep safeties. Very surprised by this, especially from the Jets. Brady has time and finds Edelman for the first.

Just not a whole lot going on in the run game, only enough to keep the Jets aware of it. But this game was all about Brady and the passing game. Makes it even more befuddling that they tried to run on the last possession of the game. But we’ll get to that…

I don’t know how you defend the quick hand off to Edelman in motion. One of these days a defensive end is going to read it and clean Edelman’s clock, but for now it looks unstoppable.

Jets hold the Pats to a field goal 3rd-and-9, again running the three-deep, five-under coverage with just three rushing. Brady finds the hole but they come up just a couple yards short.

Jets force a three-and-out on the next drive, with their pressure finally winning some one-on-ones. Cannon gets beat on third down and Brady has to rush his throw to Amendola, who was open. Would prefer not to see Cannon rotating in at tackle any more, and definitely not at guard.

Another three-and-out due to pressure when the Jets sent 6 then an Edelman drop. On third down pressure is again a factor as Solder gets beat off the edge just enough to get Brady off rhythm. Jets pressure coming through in the clutch here in the second half.

Jets sending pressure again on the Pats final touchdown drive but Brady is right on the money three times in a row to get the Pats inside the 10 yard line.

But then two penalties back them out to the 19. That would’ve been a major storyline had Amendola not made a spectacular touchdown grab. Have to be more disciplined that close to the end zone with the game on the line.

Now the final Pats possession –  three straight handoffs to Shane Vereen that netted one total yard. I don’t know why they didn’t throw here. Brady was so on fire in this game, put the game in his hands.

Oh well, Chris Jones came through in the end.

Filed Under: Film Review, Uncategorized Tagged With: all-22, analysis, new england patriots, offense

Regrouping After Two Patriots Signings and an Injury

October 22, 2014 by Mike Dussault

Yesterday was a little hectic on the real job front so not only didn’t I get a chance to discuss all the Patriots news that broke, I also didn’t get to the All-22 offense review.

Here’s the first part of that equation. As you probably know by now, Chandler Jones is out a month with a hip injury. The good news is that the bye should be included in that month so optimistically he misses the Bears, Broncos and then the Colts. 

Of course those last two will have playoff implications and that’s where it hurts most. 

To compensate for both the loss of Chandler, as well as Jerod Mayo, the Pats signed Akeem Ayers and are expected to sign DL Alan Branch. How both will fit and how they’ll force an evolution in scheme is anyone’s guess right now.

But my biggest concern right now is what it’s always been for the Patriots defense since 2010 – third down defense. Chandler was one of the only guys getting consistent pressure, and even he wasn’t as consistent as we would’ve liked.

You criticize the Patriots however you want, but at the end of the day, third down defense has been what has killed this team. And despite their best secondary in years, along with the first-round drafting of a pass rushing specialist, their problems have continued this year. In fact they’ve regressed so far.

Now without their best pass rusher and on the verge of facing three very good quarterbacks, including that Peyton Manning guy, the Pats have a huge challenge in front of them.

Branch has been out of football a while. Considering his size I don’t think we’re seeing him much if at all until after the bye week. He’ll likely be used as a defensive end, mostly on early downs.

As for Ayers he does have some versatility and some pass rush ability. But he was buried on the Titans’ depth chart, so to expect him to come in and be the kind of pass rusher the Pats need might be a little too lofty an expectation.

It’s the subpackages that concern me, not how this impacts the 34 or 43. Ayers should allow some flexibility to move Hightower and Collins around. But can he come in and bring pressure from the right defensive end spot like Jones did?

I’d expect against the Broncos and Colts they would be almost entirely in sub-packages, so Ayers could step in immediately with a significant role.

There’s no question, Rob NInkovich and Dominique Easley must elevate their game, especially getting after the quarterback. Easley looked okay at defensive end filling in for Chandler against the Bengals, but I don’t think he’s ready to be an every down player in that spot. 

Zach Moore has only played 27 snaps so far this season, but that would seem very likely to increase substantially this weekend.

Most likely is that we’ll see a steady rotation at the defensive end and outside linebacker spots until the Pats (hopefully) find something that works. It’s only three games, but they really must find a way to at least split with Denver and Indy to keep their chances of a playoff bye. That’s obviously a tall order, since both teams are firing on all cylinders on both sides of the ball.

In the long run, losing Chandler for a period of time could be a positive in a similar way to how the Pats got to find and develop Chris Jones and Sealver Siliga after last year’s injury to Vince Wilfork. 

They had no depth at defensive end and linebacker as it was, so this is a chance to get some of the unproven guys some experience. Maybe once Chandler returns we’ll have an even better front seven with Ayers and Branch in the mix to take some of the load off of him.

Ultimately the Pats have no one to blame but themselves for these problems. They played with fire having no depth behind their starting linebackers and defensive ends and now they will pay a price for it. 

How much it hurts them in January will remain to be seen, but no one circles the wagons like New England.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: akeem ayers, alan branch, analysis, chandler jones

October 22, 2014 by Mike Dussault


lolpats:

Some awesome Gronk fan art from to start your Humpday from @Boston3Digital #Patriots

https://www.patspropaganda.com/lolpats-some-awesome-gronk-fan-art-from-to/

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: art, Rob Gronkowski

Tedy Bruschi’s defensive index is back – ESPN Boston

October 21, 2014 by Mike Dussault

Tedy Bruschi’s defensive index is back – ESPN Boston

The obvious thing standing out in this ranking, and I’m actually pleasantly surprised to see New England at 8, is their 25th ranked third down percentage. Despite the problems against the run game it’s third down that needs the improvement and I look to Dominique Easley to start doing a better job to help the pass rush. He’s the DPR now, he has to start causing some problems.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: defense

Patriots vs. Jets All-22 Thoughts: Defense Edition

October 21, 2014 by Mike Dussault

This was as bad of a defensive performance as I’ve seen since, well, the Chiefs game, but the Pats get a bit of a pass given the short week and injuries they were coming off of.

Still, most of the defense lacked the necessary “pop” to their game, and save a three-drive stretch where they forced punts in the second half, the Jets offense basically had their way with them.

Still, they made the very last play of the game and that was enough to get an ugly win. The defense is much better than this and we’ll certainly see them look a lot better against the Bears this weekend.

Here are the All-22 Defense thoughts…

Pats mixed their coverage and personnel on the first drive, none of which was especially effective. Ninkovich immediately displayed the recurring problem of the night, crashing down and losing contain.

They matched receivers at times. Browner was playing outside cornerbacks as I expected. I really don’t think we’ll see him inside on tight ends or at safety. 

All four safeties saw snaps on the first drive. McCourty gave up a third down conversion after being in press man on Cumberland. Interesting that NE uses him not only on the back end but in this role as well.

Jamie Collins isn’t great in base against the run, but when he’s in subpackages and has room to use his speed he’s very good. He’s learned to take a beat to find where he needs to go rather than immediately reacting and getting himself out of position. He should be a good weapon against Matt Forte this week.

Not as impressed with Casey Walker early on as I have been in weeks past. He’s not getting off blocks. In fact, the entire DL is having trouble with that.

Sometimes it seems like Collins thinks he’s even more athletically capable than he is. Here’s a prime example where he needs to come downhill hard to Wilfork’s right. Chung has the backside. Collins isn’t fast enough to make this play headed where he’s headed.

image

Chandler Jones is so slippery inside, it’s notable given his length. The Pats showed some looks on passing downs with him inside, they even shifted Easley to DE at one third-and-long.  Might need more of that.

There really is nothing worse than watching a quarterback scramble for a first down on third-and-long.

The shift to a 3-4 front seemed tied to their inability to stop the run. It’s a Wilfork-Walker-Jones front three. This included Chung in the box for an 8-man front.

Great screen recognition in the second quarter, along with a pressure from Easley that came quicker than the Jets were hoping it would. Small steps for Easley so far, still waiting for that first big play from him. Should be coming soon.

9 in the box and they still give up 5 yards on this run.

image

Now here’s a hole. This went for 9, not sure where Casey Walker was going as he started at the left hash and basically took the whole defense to his right side out of the play. Collins is late to react but gets in the way to make the tackle.

image

After sustained drives all half, along with so many games in a short time span, the defense looks gassed at the end of the first half. But they came through in the red zone once again.

Ninkovich picked up right where he left off by getting pinned inside and losing contain on two of the first three plays in the third quarter, picking up a total of 29 yards. 

We first saw the three cornerback, one safety package last year and it’s popping up again this year.  It often comes with press man across the board, but leaves a seven man box for run protection. It’s a mix of sub and base.

Twice the Jets converted third downs on their first drive of the third quarter with Kerley and Decker aligned closely together. First time they crossed and Decker got separation on Dennard. The second time Revis played outside leverage on Decker but the receivers crossed later again opening up enough separation for Decker to convert at 3rd-and-12. Nice play design by the Jets.

Jamie Collins is pretty solid at getting out on running back swing passes.

Just a dominant first drive of the third quarter by the Jets featuring a balanced attack. Had been hoping the Pats would bring some fire out of the locker room but it would have to wait until the next three drives.

Pats switched it up a bit on the next drive, going to a 4-3, then a 5-2 front. Coverage was good and helped force a four-play drive. Credit Dont’a Hightower with a good tackle that prevented the running back from converting a checkdown on 3rd-and-12.

They force a three-and-out on the next possession, bringing six on third-and-long with Chandler Jones finishing it off. Really, I don’t think the interior run stoppers looked that bad for most of the game. Once Ninkovich stopped losing contain there wasn’t anywhere for them to go.

Another solid stand, their third in a row, on the next drive. Again, more coverage than pressure on third down. Browner is what he is, a big outside corner who’s going to take some penalties this year. When he’s on the outside and has the sideline he’s effective, when he has to pursue across the field, he’s not as good. But his makeup speed is better than I thought it was.

Here’s Chandler Jones owning Ferguson on the edge, stopping Vick for a loss. Too bad there’s a penalty on Logan Ryan.

Probably the most frustrating play of the day comes on 3rd-and-2 as Geno Smith converts running it after being totally flushed out of the pocket and surrounded by Pats. How does he get out of this…?

Pressure was a big problem after reviewing this one, and here’s a great example below. Five man rush with four guys on single blockers and no one wins.

Yards-after-contact piling up here in the fourth quarter, especially inside. Defense is gassed top-to-bottom now.

Smith finds Cumberland for the touchdown to cap off another impressive drive. It was Chung in coverage, just a couple inches off. This is why Chung gets pulled off in coverage situations. Not his bag. Never has been. Never will be. Credit to Geno for finding that matchup.

They went back at him on the failed 2-point conversion but I liked how Chung stuck with Decker. Often those passes are wide open, but Chung did enough to force a perfect throw that Geno did not make.

Final drive to set up the missed field goal start with checkdowns from Geno. Good drive starters that the Pats seemed okay to allow.

Geno makes back to back throws to get them to the Pats 45 when the play essentially broke down but the pass rush just couldn’t finish him off. That’s what happens when you only send three guys. Pats then send five guys to remedy that and Geno finds the checkdown for another five yards.

Pats just couldn’t make that one final play to finish the game on this drive. Something we’ve seen plenty of in recent years in close losses. Luckily Chris Jones found that last bit of gas to preserve the win. 

Filed Under: Film Review, Uncategorized Tagged With: all-22, analysis, defense, new england patriots

3 GIFs That Defined Patriots Win Over Jets

October 20, 2014 by Mike Dussault

In a tight divisional game like this was, the plays at the end of the game are usually the ones that define it most. My choices this week are no exception. There was the Pats first touchdown pass that caught the Jets asleep and there were a few sacks, notably by Chandler Jones, that I could’ve gone with, but these three plays were the ones that gave the Patriots the win.

This first play was the feel-good moment of the game for those who had been waiting for Danny Amendola to show up in the passing game. Just an incredibly acrobatic catch from Amendola as it appeared that his kickoff returns got him into the game flow early in this one. Hard not to feel great for Amendola as he came through in the clutch like this. If he can continue to develop into a threat, the Pats offense will have another difficult dimension for opponents to defend.

photo jets 2_zpsx31ifygu.gif

And as if the game-winning touchdown wasn’t enough, Amendola recovered this scary onsides kick on the very next play. It had to have been a frustrating start to the 2014 season for Amendola, but these two huge plays show why you just have to keep battling.

photo jets 1_zpsuvpwy5pk.gif

Finally, comes the game-saving blocked field goal attempt. Such poetic justice after how last year’s overtime game ended with Jones getting called for a silly penalty that handed the Jets the win. I think there was a pretty good chance this one was going to be good too. Again, this should help spark Chris Jones in what has already been a solid start to his second season after coming back from injury.

photo jets 3_zpslxj40zbq.gif

Previous Three GIFs:

@ Buffalo Bills

Cincinnati Bengals

Kansas City Chiefs

Oakland Raiders

@ Minnesota Vikings

@ Miami Dolphins

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: 3gifs, 3gifs2014, analysis, new england patriots

October 20, 2014 by Mike Dussault

For a career it’s an unbelievable amount of consistent production,” Belichick said. “He’d probably be waiting longer to pass that record if he hadn’t gone against me so many times. He certainly threw a lot of them against defenses that I had. His durability, his longevity, his production and that’s why it is what it is, why that record is what it is. [Brett] Favre did it for a long time and on a very consistent level and Peyton has done the same thing even a little more. It’s a phenomenal accomplishment.

Bill Belichick on Peyton Manning

New England Patriots’ Bill Belichick on Chicago Bears, Peyton Manning – ESPN Boston

Self-deprecating humor for BB? Minds are getting blown around the NFL universe…

https://www.patspropaganda.com/for-a-career-its-an-unbelievable-amount-of/

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: bill belichick, peyton manning

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