PatsPropaganda

An Independent Patriots Blog

CHFF: Patriots Stat Round Up

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Football Outsiders and Cold Hard Football Facts are my two most favorite sites for football analysis. Each have their own methodology that goes beyond simple stats.

Here’s a round up of where the Pats rank in each of CHFF’s categories…

Bendability: 13th

Scoreability: 2nd

Offensive Hogs: 3rd

Defensive Hogs: 27th

Yards Per Attempt: 9th

Defensive Passer Rating: 27th

Passer Rating Differential: 16th

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http://www.ebaumsworld.com/player.swf

OK, like Bill Belichick, there’s no other quarterback I’d rather have than Tom Brady. You could write a thousand articles about why one is the better quarterback like some moron Colts fan on Bleacher Report used to do. Seriously, he would write one daily on why Peyton was better. And would pull random stats to back him up. It was maddening and he seemed completely clueless that no one took him seriously, except himself.

You could also look at NFL Films Top 100 players ranking and argue about that. The truth is it’s all subjective and there will never be a final definitive conclusion. Though if Brady wins one more Super Bowl and Peyton doesn’t win any more, it kinda puts the final nail in the argument for me, (not that the final nail isn’t already in and about half way into the coffin but hey, I’m as biased as they come). But even then you’ll have people who say Peyton never had the team around him and blah, blah, blah…

But there is one thing that is not debatable. And that is that Peyton Manning is the better actor than Tom Brady. Sorry Pats fans, but it’s absolutely true and it’s not even close. This skit is hilarious and unfortunately given the same script Brady would’ve never pulled it off in the same way Peyton does. It would’ve been awkward and stiff like every time Brady “acts”.

Maybe we could just convince Peyton to go to acting full time? 

(Source: http://www.ebaumsworld.com/)

https://www.patspropaganda.com/ok-like-bill-belichick-theres-no-other/

CHFF: Patriots – Colts Prediction

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The only thing I hate more than power rankings are score predictions and as you can probably tell I rarely post them. But the Cold Hard Football Facts always lays out some nice stats to back up their reasoning and they’ve got some good stuff here.

Indianapolis at New England (-3.5)

The Colts and Patriots square off for the eighth year in a row – easily longest streak of non-divisional competition in the NFL. (Before 2002, they faced each other twice each year as divisional foes).

As usual, this annual matchup of AFC heavyweights has big post-season implications. Remember, the winner of the season series has gained homefield advantage over the other in each of the past nine seasons that both have made the playoffs. The winner of the regular-season series has also gone on to win the AFC title six times in nine years.

Those are some heavy-duty implications.

The main difference between the teams right now is Indy’s ability to play halfway decent pass defense (15th in Defensive Passer Rating; 8th in Passer Rating Differential).

The Patriots continue to slog along near the bottom of the Defensive Passer Rating table (27th) and they’re merely mediocre (16th) in Passer Rating Differential (+2.35) despite the fact that Tom Brady’s have another excellent, highly efficient season (17 TD, 4 INT and fourth in the NFL with a 98.8 passer rating).

 

New England’s pass defense is a huge liability in this game. The only hope? Peyton Manning is in the midst of a rare streak of mediocrity: a dismal 5.6 average per attempt and 75.5 passer rating over the past three weeks.

New England’s No. 3-ranked Offensive Hogs versus Indy’s No. 22-ranked Defensive Hogs should be a concern for Colts fans. Indy is dead last in run defensive, allowing opposing runners an average of 5.0 YPA.

But elsewhere this game pretty even. Brady has not lost a regular season game at Gillette Stadium since 2006 and is one win away from tying BrettFavre’s NFL record for consecutive home (regular season) wins.

We’ve been fairly dead on predicting Indy’s consistent string of wins over the Patriots in recent years. And a snap back to form by Manning could quickly make this game a runaway in favor of the Colts.

But Manning’s recent struggles, New England’s ability to control the tempo on Sunday, and the long string of home success by the Patriots leads us to believe that they’ll eke out a win against a team whose only road wins have come against the struggling Broncos and Redskins.

New England 27, Indianapolis 26