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Pats Posits: Off-Field Noise Will Dominate Titans Week

January 8, 2018 by Mike Dussault

The Patriots’ first playoff opponent is set, but there won’t be much discussion of the Titans this week. Instead the ESPN article from last week will continue to be rehashed, the Pats will be faulted for not having better opponents and everyone will sit and wonder whether Robert Kraft will sell the team, Bill Belichick will jump ship and start over somewhere else or Tom Brady will demand a trade.

Of course none of those last three are going to happen, but that’s what we get to listen to and read this week, unless you’ve developed the superhuman power to avoid the loudmouths and idiots who cover Boston sports as I have. Just this morning I had Kirk and Callahan on for a brief moment by accident and was amazed to hear their entire developed narrative from the ESPN story.

There’s plenty of that going on out there. That the Pats should’ve gotten more for Garoppolo. That they could’ve managed to keep both Garoppolo and Brady under the salary cap. That Belichick is going to go work for Dave Gettlemen and the Giants because this entire episode just infuriated him and made him have a “tantrum” as Kirk and Callahan were putting it.

The perceived lack of drama on the field, especially facing a team like the Titans, has left a vacuum. Now those who get paid to talk about football, and can barely do it when the Pats are playing a team with the league MVP on it, much less a lackluster one like Tennessee, are all in on the ESPN story and are spinning into something far bigger than the article itself even was.

So whatever. If you enjoy having your buttons pushed like they’ll do all week, more power to you. Everyone is allowed to be entertained however they choose. I started this blog so I could write about football. Well, football and Bill Belichick’s hoodies. But the battle between the lines is what is most fascinating to me and that’s what I’ll stick to.

Here are this week’s Posits on Wild Card weekend, the Titans and nothing more to do with the Kraft-Belichick-Brady love triangle.

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[Read more…] about Pats Posits: Off-Field Noise Will Dominate Titans Week

Filed Under: Pats Posits Tagged With: jimmy garoppolo, titans

Patriots vs. Titans 2017 AFCDG

January 7, 2018 by Mike Dussault

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cuTxtPYnrOs

After the Tennessee Titans miracle comeback against the Chiefs, and the Jaguars snoozefest win over the Bills, the Patriots will face the Titans in the AFC Divisional Game next Saturday night at 8:15pm EST.

The two teams haven’t met in the playoffs since 2003, when Tom Brady took down league Co-MVP Steve McNair’s team in the divisional round as well. It was a nail-biting 17-14 win in arctic temperatures, reminiscent of the weather in New England the last couple weeks. Luckily the forecast doesn’t appear to be quite so frigid this time around.

Since that playoff game the two teams have met just four times, with the Pats winning all four by a combined 166 to 52.

Initial impressions? Well, I guess I’m glad it’s not the Chiefs, who had me petrified when they were rolling over the Titans early in the game on Saturday afternoon. Of course we all saw how they fell apart so I guess the Chiefs weren’t the threat I believed they were. They just matched up well and had some talented pieces that could give the Patriots key problems in key areas. But oh well, their season is over and now we have to deal with Marcus Mariota, who made all the plays down the stretch that the Chiefs couldn’t.

We’ll dive more into the matchup this week, but in terms of the big picture the Titans are a below average team in just about every metric. Yes, they’ve got some tough trench players on both sides of the ball. Tight end Delanie Walker led the team with 74 catches, while Derrick Henry had 744 yards rushing. The loss of Demarco Murray to an MCL tear hurt both on the ground (659 yards) and through the air (266 yards).

I know. You don’t want to get overconfident, nor feed the Shank Tomato Can narrative but the Pats should roll in this one as the Titans might be the most overmatched opponent in recent Patriots playoff history. Still, they’re a young team who will play with nothing to lose. Their season has already been made, with their coach picking up another year with the team after their previous upset win.

The Patriots won’t care of course. They’ll lock in on the Titans like they’re an AFC favorite. It may lack some excitement but a playoff game is a playoff game and that’s why we write all them blogs. Let’s do our best to get fired up. Yay.

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: 2017 afcdg, playoffs, titans

Historical Stat Comparisons for 2017 Patriots

January 6, 2018 by Mike Dussault

Upon further review, I’m having a tough time putting this Patriots team in historical context as far as the stats go. One advantage of blogging solely about the Pats for the past decade and keeping detailed stats on each season, is that I’m able to quickly look back and compare how each season stacks up against those that came before it.

2017 feels like a mix of a lot of the bad seasons, but with just enough sprinkling of the good seasons that this year feels totally unpredictable to me.

Let’s dive in on both sides of the ball and try to find some common threads.

[Read more…] about Historical Stat Comparisons for 2017 Patriots

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: chris hogan, James white

Coffin Corner: The Benefits of Fan Fic and STATS!!!

January 6, 2018 by James Conway

Friday’s — well it wasn’t exactly a hit job — what should we call it? I think, Fan Fic? Fan Fiction is basically where people take their favorite show, book or movie and develop their own stories for the characters.  It’s responsible for some really bad writing and lots of gratuitous sex, but it’s also responsible for the billion dollar 50 shades franchise, which was Erika Mitchell’s kinky fan fic for the Twilight series. In this version, the love triangle centers around the principle characters of the New England Patriots for the last 20 years.

No cheating accusations, no conspiracies (really), just palace intrigue and open and juicy unanswered questions and also the new tidbit that Bill Belichick personally awards a Patriot Of The Week award now (good scoop, Seth!). My read on the piece is that it’s generally true without being accurate. It gathers a growing sense that there may be a rift, while suggesting there is evidence without presenting any.  I’m actually shocked, Wickersham never brought up Belichick high-fiving the offense after scoring on Miami late. I mean, what’s more scandalous than that?!

The biggest problem with the piece is that Wickersham never entered the building and likely never talked to anyone of import in the story. Maybe he talked to Guerrero or McDaniels or Patricia or one of the younger coaches, but no one who knows anything about what he’s purporting to know. So it’s just idle workplace gossip and rumor-mongering, which as we’ve learned is sort of Wickersham’s thing.

[Read more…] about Coffin Corner: The Benefits of Fan Fic and STATS!!!

Filed Under: Coffin Corner Tagged With: bill belichick, tom brady

5 Takeaways from ESPN’s Brady-Belichick-Kraft Article

January 5, 2018 by Mike Dussault

Last night, Bruce Allen dropped the news that ESPN was about to run a “hit” piece on the Patriots this morning that dove into growing tension between Tom Brady, Bill Belichick and Robert Kraft. Of course Patriots fans went ballistic at the mere mention of this and the internet was ablaze with takes before anyone had even read what was actually written.

Well the article came out this morning and honestly I found it pretty tame and mostly just expounding on what had already been reported locally.

It did contain plenty of interesting details but, after 18 years of the central figures working together, there’s nothing that is all that hard to believe. There are certainly details that left me scratching my head a bit, things that were left out or muddier than I think they needed to be, but overall, I found it more interesting that outrageous, and a reminder of all the moving parts involved with managing a football team, much moreso one that has had such unprecedented success.

Here are the five takeaways that I found most interesting, and what this all means as we enter the playoff bye week.

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Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: alex guerrero, bill belichick, espn, jimmy garoppolo, seth wickersham, tom brady

The 2017 Bill Belichick Regular Season Hoodie Report

January 4, 2018 by Mike Dussault

Hot Jacket, Opening Night Loss to KC

It was a record-breaking year for Bill Belichick and his Hoodie this season. The Hot Jacket, introduced in 2013 and Belichick recent fave, surpassed the infamous Gray Cutoff Hoodie as his most-worn game attire with the Patriots. Yes, Belichick will always be known for that Hoodie, but the truth is that he probably should be known for that short sleeved blue wind breaker just as much.

As soon as Belichick broke the record of games coached in the Hot Jacket, he didn’t wear it again the rest of the season. His record in the two faves are remarkably similar — in the Hot Jacket 43 games played for a record of 33-10, for the infamous Hoodie 42 games played for a 32-10 record. Expect Belichick to continue to add to that total next season in the early warm months.

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Filed Under: Bill Belichick Hoodie Database Tagged With: bill belichick, bill belichick hoodie database, hoodie

How Does Pats’ 2017 Bend-Don’t-Break Defense Stack Up Historically?

January 4, 2018 by Mike Dussault

For the last few years I’ve quantified the Patriots maddening-yet-effective Bend-Don’t-Break style of defense as such: Points-per-drive and Turnovers-per-drive measure the “Break” element, while Yards-per-drive and Plays-per-drive measure the “Bend” element. It’s not perfect, but it at least gives me the ability to get a sense of how bendy and breaky each defense of the Bill Belichick era has been.

How does 2017 stack up? Let’s take a look.

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Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: bend don't break, defense

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Cue the Parcells “let’s not fit him for a jacket in Canton yet” qualifier since it is only camp, but I’m so psyched that Brown will be the #2 CB and that Butler is stepping up take over the #1 CB spot based on his noteworthy performance in camp. Put me in the minority, but a breakout season from MB, and a steady one from Brown and the defense will be fine.

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