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Tom Shaw-Mellors

PatsProp Preview – Here Come The Saints

September 25, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

(Carmen Mandato/Getty Images)

The Patriots are back in Foxboro for the first of two straight home games, starting tomorrow against the New Orleans Saints. Here’s your Week 3 PatsProp preview!

One’s To Watch

J.C. Jackson

Jackson snagged two picks last week against Zach Wilson, so he should be licking his chops coming up against Jameis Winston tomorrow, who we all know has the tendency to provide turnovers. Jackson is a pending FA at the end of the season and he’s playing like he has something to prove, he should be a fun watch once again.

J.C. Jackson with his second INT of the day. Wilson now has three INTs. (Video via @BenBrownPL) pic.twitter.com/kdlvPwh77n

— Pats Buzz (@PatsBuzz) September 19, 2021

James White

Jimmy White looked as if he was back to his best last week against the Jets, something which he was unable to do last season as his connection with Cam Newton never materialized. Mac Jones likes to use the check down a bunch, and I expect it to be no different tomorrow as he continues his partnership with White.

James White’s first touchdown of the season! #Patriots #ForeverNE pic.twitter.com/oMry6gusOW

— PatsPropaganda (@PatsPropaganda) September 19, 2021

Matt Judon

Judon had a quiet game last week and didn’t really stand out like I thought he would. He also appeared on the injury report this week but has managed to work through his ailment and will be raring to go. With Winston’s ability to catch fire in the passing game, Judon getting pressure on him will be vital for the Patriots. Look out for him on the edge tomorrow.

Isaiah Wynn

Wynn has been really lackluster in the opening few weeks, mistakes, penalties, and generally, his poor play has me a little worried. The Saints can bring pressure and the Patriots need him to be better. Whilst the right tackle spot is a concern also, keep an eye on the left side.

Christian Barmore

I’ve been really impressed with how Barmore has started for the team, and I think he will only continue to get better. More of a pass-rushing threat than against the run, I’m interested to see the rookie work more tomorrow against a good Saints offensive front.

When The Saints Go Marching In

Who for New Orleans could potentially cause problems for the Patriots?

Cam Jordan

The former six-time Pro Bowler will be key for the Saints as they head into Foxboro tomorrow. Jordan, who’s just 5.5 sacks away from reaching 100 for his career, is a big area of concern given how leaky the Pats offensive front has looked through the first couple of weeks. If the Patriots can stop Jordan, it will make their day passing the ball a lot easier.

Alvin Kamara

This is obvious, but they have to stop Kamara tomorrow. The Pats have been disappointing in preventing the run so far this season, despite bolstering their defensive front in free agency. Kamara’s ability is undisputed, but he’s had a slow start this season by his own standards.

If the Patriots can limit Kamara’s production tomorrow, their chances of winning skyrocket.

Jameis Winston

Winston is such an interesting player to watch because you don’t know what QB you’re going to get from week to week. He’ll either turn up as a top-10 player, throw for 400 yards and/or 4 TD’s, or, he’ll throw you multiple interceptions, there usually isn’t much in-between. If he turns up, it could be an interesting game for sure.

[Read more…] about PatsProp Preview – Here Come The Saints

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: New Orleans Saints, preview

Patriots Ups & Downs: Week 2

September 20, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

The Patriots are back in the win column with a 25-6 victory over the New York Jets. Let’s take a look at yesterday’s Ups & Downs from Week 2!

Ups ⬆️

Damien Harris

After a disappointing end against Miami, Damien Harris came back with an encouraging performance against the Jets yesterday, which was capped off with an unbelievable touchdown run.

Harris led the carries out of the backfield, which saw Rhamondre Stevenson sit out and J.J. Taylor get minimal touches. He finished with 16 carries for 62 yards and a touchdown. His stats alone don’t get him on this list, but that touchdown run sure does.

Damien Harris BULLDOZED for this TD. pic.twitter.com/YeMwgBSgq6

— Field Yates (@FieldYates) September 19, 2021

The Secondary

Instead of listing them individually, I thought I would honor them as a collective unit, after all, their work as a unit was one of the deciding factors in the win overall. Their coverage was good enough to cause rookie Zach Wilson into early mistakes, which he never recovered from.

Wilson threw four picks, two for J.C. Jackson, who has the most in the league since he entered the league in 2018, one for Devin McCourty, and one for Adrian Phillips who had the pick of all four with an exceptional diving catch.

Another view of Zach Wilson's second interception…

Right through Corey Davis' hands pic.twitter.com/1YDsOdXbaa

— Ben Brown 🌻 (@BenBrownPL) September 19, 2021

Jackson’s performance had me thinking about his future with the team after this season, for me, regardless of if he fits in a particular style or scheme, he’s shown the ability to find and intercept the ball on a regular basis, I think they should pay him.

Nick Folk

Big kick Nick, that’s how it goes right? Folk broke the franchise record for consecutive field goals made yesterday at 33. He has settled back into the starting kicker for the team, and even with a missed extra point in yesterday’s victory, he makes the up list.

Josh Uche

Uche still hasn’t quite been given the free reign I’ve been hoping to see, but he got after it against the Jets and managed to get to Zach Wilson for a couple of sacks. He was my noticeable stand-out on a quieter day for the pass-rush.

James White

Where to start, the double-pass? The touchdown run? James White proves time and again why he is one of the greatest Patriots ever. Mr Reliable has carried on his work to be a safety valve for Mac Jones, and he was active once again for the team, both on the ground, and in the air.

Downs ⬇️

Offensive Line

Again, I’ll cover these as a collective. Overall, the performance wasn’t great and the right tackle position is certainly a problem for the coaches to deal with. With Trent Brown missing due to injury, Yasir Durant got the start until he was benched and replaced by Justin Herron, the same thing happened last week, just the other way around.

Mac took more hits yesterday, against a Jets team that really didn’t have any business getting to the Patriots QB with the lack of blitzes they called. This needs fixing, and quickly. Don’t be surprised to see a move in the trade market for additional depth if they can’t sort this out with the players they already have.

Run-Defense

My concerns are also growing with the front seven and their inability to stop the run. How on earth the Jets found it that easy to move the chains yesterday on the ground I’ll never know, another thing to monitor going forward, especially with Alvin Kamara in town next week.

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: new york jets, ups and downs

PatsProp Preview – We’re on to New York

September 18, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports

A very frustrating loss to Miami has stuck with me all week, but I’m feeling good about the team’s bounce-back chances in New Jersey this weekend against the New York Jets.

One’s To Watch

Here are the Patriots I’ll be keeping my eye on this weekend and why.

Mac Jones

Look out for Jones to build on his good start again this Sunday. The Jets has a very young/unknown secondary which could have a long day if Mac can find some rhythm in the pocket.

Jones will need to have better protection this Sunday, but I also don’t expect the Jets to blitz as much as the Dolphins did, so hopefully, that will come hand in hand. I watched a breakdown of Mac’s film this week from J.T. O’Sullivan, he made some really good points about Mac leaving a lot of yards on the field against Miami. Basically, there were more lucrative options on some plays that could have led to massive gains or even a score, but, with that being siad, he did just fine.

Mac attack is back on Sunday.

Trent Brown

The running attack stuttered after a bright start last Sunday against Miami, and it’s no coincidence it did so following Trent Brown leaving the game with a calf injury. Brown is officially questionable for Sunday’s trip to New Jersey with that same injury, but if he’s able to get out there, it would be a massive boost to the run game, which in turn would help Mac when passing.

If Brown is inactive, look for Yodny Cajuste or Yasir Durant to step in at RT.

Damien Harris

Let’s keep things positive, the game-ending fumble is all in the rearview mirror now, and I’m expecting a big resurgence from Damien Harris this weekend. The Patriots showed flashes of what they could do on the ground, but after Trent Brown left the game, any consistent production was thwarted.

I think we’ll see J.J. Taylor get the nod over Rhamondre Stevenson, who may still be in the doghouse for his own fumble last week.

In their opening game, the Jets gave up over a hundred yards to the Panthers, with that in mind I think Harris could have a huge game this weekend, keep an eye on him.

James White

Jimmy White had a solid game last week, and I think he’s worth keeping an eye on specifically this week. Mac showed his tendency to check down a bunch through preseason and Week 1, and White is a perfect candidate for that safety blanket type partnership with Jones.

Not to mention, I’d love to see more of this on Sunday…

Mac Jones to James White.

Pretty much perfect.

pic.twitter.com/JiMViDHMoO

— Henry McKenna (@henrycmckenna) September 12, 2021

Josh Uche

A big chance for Uche this week in the pass-rush attack, especially with the news that Kyle Van Noy will be out on Sunday. Uche had some good plays last week, most notably, his first sack of the season after crushing that Dolphins offensive tackle, I think both he and Matt Judon will be important in bringing pressure to Zach Wilson this weekend.

Watch the Left Tackle, Josh Uche just emptied his pockets. FREAK. #ForeverNE pic.twitter.com/v3G3WQojrE

— PatsPropaganda (@PatsPropaganda) September 12, 2021

J.C. Jackson

J.C. has been talking a bunch of smack in the last week which has really put the pressure on for him to back it up. The secondary wasn’t great against Miami, they didn’t give up ridiculous numbers, but, at the same time, they didn’t prevent Miami from moving the chains when they had to. We need a solid game by Jackson, as the Pats starting corner, it would make me feel a lot better.

[Read more…] about PatsProp Preview – We’re on to New York

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: analysis, new york jets, patriots

Patriots Ups & Downs: Week 1

September 13, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

(Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)

The Patriots experienced their first Week 1 loss since 2017 at the hands of the Miami Dolphins, a disappointing loss, but I came away with some optimism about the position that means the most in the NFL.

Here are my ups and downs from yesterday’s loss to the Dolphins.

Ups ⬆️

Mac Jones

And this is where my optimism lies. A very solid debut for Mac yesterday, I think all of my hopes were satisfied from what I wanted to see out of him. He quickly moved on from a shaky start in the first quarter and had a very accurate afternoon.

Sure, the loss was frustrating, but if there’s one thing we should be pleased with as a fanbase, it was Mac getting off to a good start in the league as QB 1.

Nelson Agholor

A productive game for Agholor on his Pats debut, he scored the team’s only touchdown and had 5 catches for 75 yards whilst teaming up with Jakobi Meyers to be Mac’s main targets.

Agholor shook off any concern of him being just a 1/2 play a game player and was the best of the group yesterday.

Matt Judon

What a beast Matt Judon is, he carried on from his strong preseason with plenty of disruption for the Dolphins offensive line to deal with. His play of the day was when he speared Tua, resulting in an interception by Jonathan Jones.

Judon is going to be the spearhead of the Patriots defense, Uche also showed some flashes, the pass rush, in general, was an up yesterday.

Nick Folk

Was activated as one of the practice squad elevations and had a perfect night of kicking as he went 3/3 on field goals and 1/1 on extra points. There was some question about who would be handling the kicking duties, Folk turned out to be the man for the job and continued his good streak of kicking on the back of last season.

With Quinn Nordin still on the 53 man roster, I can’t see the Patriots carrying him for an extended period of time throughout the season, he could go down to the PS when someone like N’Keal Harry returns from IR.

Downs ⬇️

The Offensive Line

Yeesh, for how much the offensive line was bigged up this offseason to be a force, they really underwhelmed against a blitz-heavy Dolphins attack yesterday. They really didn’t quell a lot of the pressure Mac Jones was experiencing. Then they lost Trent Brown with a calf injury, which fortunately sounds to be minor from a report by Adam Schefter earlier today.

Justin Herron came in to replace Brown on the right side and was eventually benched following a poor performance.

Now, the line didn’t stink all day, they enabled Damien Harris to have a good day on the ground and it isn’t easy to stop the sort of pressure Miami was bringing all day, but they have to be better in pass protection, Mac can’t be taking as many hits as he did yesterday all season.

Damien Harris

The only reason Harris makes the list for a down day was because of the game-ending fumble, it completely overshadowed all of his good work throughout the game for me.

He did have a solid start in terms of numbers as the franchise lead running back, and I think he’ll be back strong and will learn a lot from that mistake.

Rhamondre Stevenson

Stevenson had a fumble of his own which should have been reversed after a review, but regardless, it was the first turnover of the day and Stevenson was put in the doghouse for it. He ended the game with just one rushing attempt, a down day for him.

Penalties

This was driving me insane yesterday. The Patriots finished the game with 8 penalties for 84 yards, totally unacceptable and something I’m sure Bill will be addressing in the coming days.

Penalties kill drives and lose games, the team needs to find some discipline in this area, and I think they will.

Coaching Strategy

I’m stealing this one from the guys from Patriots.com post-game show, they were talking about how they were disappointed that Mac didn’t have any shots into the endzone (apart from the touchdown to Agholor). Especially as both Jonnu Smith and Hunter Henry were playing, I agree, perhaps a specific game plan for Jones in his first game, but they gotta get him slinging it into the scoring areas.

I’m not saying Josh’s playcalling was bad, but at times it feels they’re trying to be a little too cute, but it’s early days and I think the offense will evolve over the early part of the season.

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: miami dolphins, ups and downs

PatsProp Preview – We’re on to Miami

September 11, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

(AP Photo/Matt Rourke)

The season is finally here, and Patriots football is just a day away. Tomorrow, the New England Patriots welcome the Miami Dolphins to Gillette Stadium, along with thousands of fans, for the first time since the 2019 season.

One’s To Watch

Here are the Patriots I’ll be keeping my eye on this weekend and why.

Mac Jones

Not a surprise here, Mac Jones makes his professional debut as an NFL starting quarterback. Many teams across the league have seen multiple signal-callers over the last few years, but, for the Patriots, it’ll be the first time a rookie quarterback will start week 1 as the starter since Drew Bledsoe in 1993.

Whatever the circumstance behind it, Mac won the starting job and gets his chance to lead this team against his former teammate in Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins. Jones will come up against some a good Miami secondary who should be more prepared than last season to deal with a more conventional pocket-passing style player.

I want to see Jones enjoy his first game and it would be awesome for him to get a win under his belt early, against a good, competent Miami outfit.

Matt Judon

Oh boy, am I excited to see Judon gear up and get on the field tomorrow. In the small sample size of reps we saw in the preseason, Judon was full tilt and made light work of the opposition offensive fronts. Judon, a two-time Pro Bowler with Baltimore, is the FA signing of the season for me, I think that will show as much in the first half of the schedule.

Expect to see him mainly in the pass-rush attack along with Josh Uche, which could be a scary tandem this year, especially if Barmore can get going in the interior.

J.C. Jackson

With Stephon Gilmore out for at least the first six games, J.C. Jackson will be at the top of the depth chart as starting cornerback. Jackson is coming off a monster nine-interception season in 2020 and needs to keep that juice flowing, starting tomorrow against Miami.

If the pass-rush can give Tua trouble, he has shown the tendency to throw balls into traffic, and with Jackson being the ball-hawk he is, expect him to be busy. Jackson could well convince the team to give him a big extension this year with his performances in the opening portion of the season.

Damien Harris

With Sony Michel traded to the Rams earlier in the offseason, the time has come for Damien Harris. Harris got limited reps in the preseason as a starter, which led to good opportunities for both Rhamondre Stevenson and J.J. Taylor to cement their place in the depth chart.

I feel good about the offensive line this year and I can’t wait to see Harris get his wheels turning, he could be in for a big year. Not to mention, if the running game gets going nicely, it should help the passing attack open up more, which could be a big boost for Mac and the receivers.

Jakobi Meyers

Imagine a couple of years ago someone telling you that UDFA Jakobi Meyers would be the top receiver for the Patriots, some journey huh? But it’s true! Meyers has had an extraordinary rise to the top of the depth chart following a good performance last year, that carried through to training camp.

Meyers will be Mac’s safety blanket of the group, which will give him great options over the middle out of the slot, I think he’ll lead the team for catches this year.

[Read more…] about PatsProp Preview – We’re on to Miami

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: Mac Jones, miami dolphins

2021 NFL season: how the bookies rate the Patriots chances

September 4, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

September 9 2021, is an important date in the diary of sports fans everywhere as it signals the return of the NFL. The biggest and most famous competition in American Football, the NFL is followed by a global audience with viewers from Las Vegas to London, Texas to Turin. The curtain goes up with a mouth-watering match between the Dallas Cowboys and Tampa Bay Buccaneers before the action steps up a notch on Saturday and Sunday.

The leading betting apps available in certain states of America as well as major cities across the globe offer fans an opportunity to bet on the outcome of the season as well as each upcoming match. Bet on the winner of the regular season to make the playoffs, win the Superbowl, or even to score the first touchdown in a game. There’s something for everyone who is looking for a financial interest in football.

You’ll find the best odds and promotions available on your team when visiting sportsbettingsites.com, and it’s crucial you follow their advice to secure the most generous odds. To stand any chance of making a profit from your football bets, you must have the best prices working in your favor throughout the season.

How do the Vegas traders expect the Patriots to get on in what will be the 102nd season of the National Football League? We can take our clues from the betting before a ball has been kicked in anger on matchday one. Let’s dig a little deeper.

Traders have their say

As dedicated fans of New England will know only too well, the Patriots have won six Superbowl championships between 2001 and 2018 and have been particularly impressive in recent seasons. The team won three Superbowl titles in five seasons but hasn’t finished on top in two seasons. Is that mini drought about to come to an end with New England returning to the head of American Football?

That remains to be seen, but those creating the odds at the most popular online bookies have made their feelings known and offer outright betting odds on the Superbowl winner. The playoffs are scheduled to begin on January 15 2022, with the big one, the Superbowl decider, played on February 13 2022. You can gamble on each stage of the season or look ahead and give yourself a long-term interest by trying to predict the Superbowl winning team. This bet will keep your interest for the entire time your team is in the running.

Will you follow the thinking of the betting traders and go for one of the favorites or take them on with a team with a bigger price attached? In pre-season, many bettors prefer to take a bit of a stab in the dark and play an outsider at big odds for a small stake in the hope of catching an upset and landing a handsome pay-out in addition to the bragging rights.

When making your selections, it’s worth doing as much research as possible. There is no hard and fast way to beat the bookies and make a guaranteed profit from football betting, but there are things you can do to increase your chances, and researching every pick is the best of them. Follow the pre-season transfers and trades, coaches interviews, injury news, formations, and even the COVID latest coming out of the team. With all this information at your hand, you will be well placed to take the bookies on by making an informed decision.

Where do the Patriots feature?

What are the chances of New England returning as kings of the NFL this season? The bookies aren’t sitting on the fence here, pricing New England way down the pecking order with betting odds that suggest the Patriots will be little more than also-rans this term. Pats are 12th on the Superbowl betting list, and that will come as a surprise to many.

Some of the teams thought to have a better chance at winning the Superbowl include the Los Angeles Chargers, Tennessee Titans, and the Seattle Seahawks. There are two ways you can interpret that call from the odds-makers. You can either accept it and take the traders at their word, looking beyond NE for your Superbowl pick this season or you can stick with the Patriots and see the value in backing them at the generous odds offered

Filed Under: Uncategorized

BREAKING – Patriots cut QB Cam Newton

August 31, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

Credit: Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

Wow oh wow. Mac Jones has won the quarterback competition in New England as the Patriots have released Cam Newton.

BREAKING NEWS: The #Patriots have released Cam Newton. Mac Jones is the starting QB in New England. https://t.co/3qE1qu6xqC

— Jim McBride (@globejimmcbride) August 31, 2021

I honestly did not see this coming, I’m shocked. The way a final couple of preseason games went indicated that Cam was the starter and would get the nod to begin the 2021 season, but how wrong was I?!

A couple of things to note here. Firstly, Mac has done enough to show Bill he can be capable of running the offense in the regular season. And second, Cam’s issue with having to isolate may have played a big role moving forward as he was unvaccinated.

Now, this isn’t about if it’s right or wrong to get the vaccine, but the team may have felt it would have put them in a detrimental position if Newton had to isolate with no prior notice before a game during the regular season.

Mac Jones will be the team’s starter in Week 1 against Miami. The first time a rookie has been named starter since Drew Bledsoe in 1993.

Filed Under: Announcement, Breaking News Tagged With: Cam Newton, Mac Jones

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