PatsPropaganda

An Independent Patriots Blog

Archives for October 2013

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https://www.patspropaganda.com/9285/

check out pro football focus new drop stat update. free part lists 3 Pats in bottom 20 of league. lets lighten up on tom.

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Agreed. This is likely what I’ll write about for B/R next week, but really nothing has gone Brady’s way this year and he still just keeps winning. Everyone wants to play the “decline” angle which would really only be valid if nothing had changed around Brady.

But let’s be honest. EVERYTHING has changed. “But he did fine in 2006,” some say, well this has been even more difficult. In 2006 he had Kevin Faulk and Troy Brown, not to mention Ben Watson and Daniel Graham. What can he hang his hat on this year? Reche Caldwell didn’t miss a game. Imagine if Brady had to rely on Chad Jackson extensively that season…

In 2013 there were departures, injuries and, to compound matters, like you pointed out, he’s had to basically get by with two rookie receivers with the dropsies, no tight end threat and no true receiving running back threat. His offensive line has given up the 10th most sacks in the league, and a lot of them came at key moments like on third down. Let’s also add in the potential hand injury that he is likely dealing with. And the fact that he’s played some of the best defensive fronts in the NFL.

So when you add it all up, I think this could possibly, when everything is said and done, be one of Brady’s most impressive seasons. Especially if they go on a playoff run. Might be hard to see right now, but the potential is there, especially as the Pats get healthy.

The “Brady’s lost it” takes bring int he page views, but it’s only true if you take his stats completely out of the context from what’s been going on with the 2013 Pats. I think we’ll look back on those articles in December and have a good laugh.

Patriots get two key players back

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Good news from practice this morning, though Mark Harrison and Armond Armstead still haven’t come off of PUP. Pats are getting healthy, and they’ll be a different team after the bye week. If they can squeak out a win this weekend they’ll be in amazing position.

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The Patriots blitzed a decent amount in the first half — bringing at least one extra pass rusher seven times on 19 dropbacks. The result, though, was a 17-3 deficit and zero sacks as Ryan Tannehill got into a rhythm with short passes and the Dolphins ran the ball 22 times for 103 yards. So Belichick went blitz crazy in the second half. He called for extra pressure on 22 of 31 dropbacks, and the result was six sacks, no points, 126 total yards and one frustrated Tannehill in the second half. For the game, the Patriots blitzed on 29 of 50 dropbacks (58 percent).

In second-half comeback, the Patriots blitz gave Dolphins fits – Sports – The Boston Globe

https://www.patspropaganda.com/the-patriots-blitzed-a-decent-amount-in-the-first/

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The play didn’t count due to a holding call, but Brady threw an absolute dart on a 30-yard pass to Gronkowski in the end zone during the third quarter with Miami safety Chris Clemons coverage. It was perhaps the best pass he’s thrown all season.

Grading the Patriots vs. Dolphins: New England blitzed its way to victory | masslive.com

https://www.patspropaganda.com/the-play-didnt-count-due-to-a-holding-call-but/

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It’s hard to determine how to divy up the blame pie for Tom Brady’s massive decline this year. Is his lack of accuracy related to the fact that he doesn’t trust his new receivers? Is it related to age? An injury to his hand? How much do we blame the new receivers and how much do we blame Brady himself? What we do know is that Brady’s year-to-year decline is one of the biggest for any quarterback in history.
For now, let’s just look at quarterbacks since 1989 using DVOA ratings. After Week 8, Brady’s DVOA rating stands at -16.6%. That’s actually lower than replacement level, which is astonishing for a player who has led the league in passing DVOA three times and passing DYAR four times. As of right now, Brady’s drop of over 50 percentage points in DVOA trails only Brett Favre’s final season in Minnesota as the biggest year-to-year drop in DVOA for a quarterback with at least 300 passes in two straight seasons.

FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | Week 8 DVOA Ratings

Sorry if this made you throw up in your mouth a little. Here’s the thing, I’m still not really that worried about Brady. Look at what he’s had to work with in the first half. His protection has been spotty at bad times. His best receiving back played one game (and dominated). He essentially had NO tight end. The best free agent has missed five games.

Essentially Brady has had to get by without much help from anyone. But things have already started to change. Gronk and Amendola are back and getting up to speed. The protection will be better as it always is. Vereen should be back after the bye.

Let’s just say it wouldn’t be crazy to see a huge turnaround in Brady’s stats this year and a lot of these “Has Brady Lost It” articles will look pretty silly.

https://www.patspropaganda.com/its-hard-to-determine-how-to-divy-up-the-blame/