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preview

PatsProp Preview – Saturday Night Fever

December 18, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

AP Photo/Steven Senne

Welcome back! The bye week was eventful, but it wasn’t the same without the Pats playing. With a week until Christmas, the Patriots head on the road for a tricky test in Indianapolis, hoping to further solidify their place in the AFC standings.

Here’s your preview for week 15!

One’s To Watch

Rhamondre Stevenson

With no Damien Harris, Stevenson will lead the rushing attack tonight, similar to the game against Cleveland in week 10 when Harris missed out last. Stevenson has really come on as a complimentary piece of the offense in the second half of the season, he’ll be due a heavy workload this evening.

Brandon Bolden

Again, in the absence of Harris, Bolden will be worth keeping an eye on, he’s been very useful this year, filling in for James White in that swiss army knife role out of the backfield.

Mac Jones

I was a little concerned to see Mac show up on the injury report this week for a thumb injury to his non-throwing hand, but, he quickly reassured me with his comical thumb wiggling routine in a presser midweek. Jones has had a week to study ahead of this game and I’m hoping he’ll get back into the thick of it following all the talk after the Buffalo game when he only passed three times.

Christian Barmore

Stopping Taylor tonight will be crucial, and I think Barmore will have a massive part of the defensive gameplan, he’s been electric so far in his rookie season, definitely one to watch tonight.

Dangerous Colts

Who for the Colts could cause problems for the Patriots?

Robert Scheer/IndyStar/USA TODAY Network

Jonathan Taylor

Probably one of the biggest threats the Pats will face this season is Jonathan Taylor. He was floating around the MVP conversation somewhat in recent weeks, which may be just hyperbole, but, it’s a high compliment for a running back. Taylor leads the NFL in rushing yards and touchdowns and the Patriots will have to limit his play tonight, otherwise, he could run over them all game.

Michael Pittman Jr

The second-year WR has risen to be Carson Wentz’s top target for the Colts. At 6’3 he’s really lanky and can make athletic plays all over the field. TY Hilton commented this week that he’s never faced the Pats without being double covered, I think I can say that won’t be an issue in this game, Pittman will get most of the attention.

Prediction Corner

@ShawMellors – Patriots 24 – Colts 21

I see this being a close game with some up and down play, but in the end, I have the Pats coming out on top with a field goal win late on. Patriots 24 Colts 21

@clazzyclare – Patriots 27 – Colts 14

This match up should have me concerned, the Colts are a sneaky good team and have been doing very well. But I have a strange confidence that the Patriots have got this! Patriots 27 Colts 14.

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: preview

PatsProp Preview – Thursday Night In Atlanta

November 17, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Patriots head into Atanta on the short week at 6-4 on the season, having won four straight games. It’s a different story for the Falcons as they sit at 4-5 in the midst of a roster rebuild, with many questions about their future still unanswered. Here’s your preview of tomorrow’s game!

One’s To Watch

Mac Jones

On the back of his best performance to date, Mac Jones has no time to rest on his laurels as he prepares for the first short week of his young NFL career. Jones should be brimming with confidence heading into this one, the Falcons have been dreadful all season on defense, especially in the secondary, and their front has left a lot to be desired in the form of any sort of pass-rush.

Mac should be fun to watch tomorrow night.

Rhamondre Stevenson

Damien Harris was not on the Pats official injury report today, paving the way for him to be active tomorrow. Stevenson could very well lead the backfield once again even if Harris is able to go, as I wouldn’t expect him to have a full workload, especially so soon after a concussion.

Trent Brown

Brown was man-handling players on Sunday, and it was FREAKY to watch. The sheer size and strength of this human is unfathomable, and the run game behind him certainly looked a lot better. Whilst he’s healthy and out there playing, keep one eye on the right side of the offensive line.

Hunter Henry

Henry has established himself as the top scoring threat on the roster over the last couple of months, keep an eye on him tomorrow, especially in the red area.

Jakob Johnson

The German freight train’s performances have gone under the radar for many, but he really stood out to me on Sunday. He’s been a key part in getting the ball moving on the ground, he’s really making the position his own and will be important again tomorrow.

Matt Judon

Mr Sleeves is going for the Patriots’ single-season sack record, and I think he’ll get it with time to spare. I’m feeling a couple more for him tomorrow night whilst trying to force Matt Ryan into making silly mistakes and turning the ball over.

Soaring Falcons

Who for the Falcons could cause problems for the Patriots? Well, I only really thing there can be two.

Kyle Pitts

The rookie tight end is an absolute PHENOM, I got to see him live at one of the London games last month and he is ridiculous. His catch radius because of his tall, lanky physique gives him a big advantage over corners. With no Calvin Ridley, Pitts has been towing the Falcons offense on his back, the Patriots need to plan for him.

Cordarrelle Patterson

The former Patriot has enjoyed a rejuvinated career in Atlanta, becoming one of their most dynamic weapons on an offense which has struggled this year. Patterson has been battling an ankle injury this week and is officially questionable to play, but if he does, he’ll be heavily involved.

Patriots Fantasy Starter PPR

(Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

Patriots Defense

For the third-straight week I’m picking the Patriots D as your fantasty PPR start! This unit has really become something over the last month, currently averaging 9.30 points per game and is ranked #2 in the PPR league defensive charts.

Prediction Corner

@ShawMellors – Patriots 24 – Falcons 10

I haven’t said this yet, but the Patriots have the superior team and in greater form than Atlanta, I think they’ll head into an extended break with another win. Patriots 24 Falcons 10

@clazzyclare – Patriots 30 – Falcons 10

With the cream of the crop of Atlanta possibly depleted and the Patriots playing so well against the Browns this feels like a should be win. Patriots 30 Falcons 10

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: preview

PatsProp Preview – Welcome Cleveland

November 13, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

Stew Milne-USA TODAY Sports

The Patriots improved their away record to 4-0 for the season last week with another impressive win over the Panthers. This week, they’re looking for their second home win against a Cleveland Browns team who are dealing with a bunch of adversity. Here’s your preview of tomorrow’s game!

One’s To Watch

J.J. Taylor

With both Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson questionable to play tomorrow, we could see the lead-back role handed to J.J. Taylor. We haven’t seen him since week 7, where he scored two touchdowns against the Jets. I’m dubious about it Tayor is a lead-back style of player, but I’d love to find out. If Harris and/or Stevenson are active, I think they’ll lead the rushes, but Taylor is worth watching tomorrow the way things are going.

Matt Judon

With Baker Mayfield playing through multiple injuries, I think one of his priorities will not be taking hits where possible, so enter Matthew Judon. If Judon can break through and cause pressure on Mayfield, I think it could force some throws into danger areas for turnovers. Even if he doesn’t record many hits or sacks, Judon’s presence alone should be enough to cause issues.

Christian Barmore

The big defensive tackle continues to show what a great pick he was from this year’s draft, against a good rushing outfit, he’ll be key once again tomorrow.

J.C. Jackson

Mr INTs form over recent weeks has been unreal, he carries on from a double-pick game against Sam Darnold last week. The Browns will be without their franchise backs, so expect Mayfield to look more downfield, mainly for Donovan Peoples-Jones and Jarvis Landry, who the latter I think will be covered by Jackson.

Cleveland Danger

Who for the Browns could cause problems for the Patriots?

Myles Garrett

What needs to be said about Garrett? He’s one of the two best defensive ends in the league, also being part of an absolute nightmare tandem with his partner Jadeveon Clowney on the opposite edge. Mac has taken some massive hits so far this year, and Garrett is a big threat if he isn’t dealt with by the offensive line.

D’Ernest Johnson

With no Nick Chubb or Kareem Hunt, Johnson gets another opportunity to shine for the Browns. His first real chance came in Week 7 against Denver where he rushed for 146 yards and scored his first career touchdown. Whilst he’s not at the level of Chubb or Hunt, he can certainly run.

Jarvis Landry

With OBJ out of the picture in Cleveland, Landry will lead the wideout group as the veteran and number 1 option. Landry has battled through his share of injuries but is a player who still will garner plenty of respect and can do plenty of damage.

[Read more…] about PatsProp Preview – Welcome Cleveland

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: preview

PatsProp Preview – We’re On To Carolina

November 6, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

Following a massive win on the west coast last Sunday, the Patriots head to Carolina looking to improve to 5-4 on the season. They’ll also come up against their former star cornerback, Stephon Gilmore. Here’s your preview of tomorrow’s game!

One’s To Watch

Mac Jones

Jones was quite lacklustre against the Chargers, but, the key thing was that he didn’t commit any mistakes and did what he needed to help the team secure the win. He’s one to watch every game this season, I would love to see him have a big day tomorrow and lead the team to it’s third straight win.

Matthew Judon

Judon turned up last week and disrupted Herbet a bunch, and the Pats will need him to be active again this week. Regardless of who’s at QB tomorrow for the Panthers, I think Judon is the key to disrupting their offense, watch out for him tomorrow.

J.C. Jackson

After missing a couple of practice days this week with an illness, J.C. Jackson returned Friday and was off the injury report entirely, so he plays tomorrow. I think he’ll be wanting to put on a good show with his former teammate on the opposite sideline, as he’s now the number one corner for New England. I feel J.C. is due an interception tomorrow.

Nick Folk

Folk has been so important for the Pats so far this year, and with an offense that can struggle in the redzone, I have a feeling he’ll be needed on field goal duty a few times again this week. All eyes on him.

Gunner Olszewski

The field position Gunner gave the offense from return duty last week was HUGE! I think that performance will drive him into some good form and we could see more of it against the Panthers, which may be pivotal against a good defense.

Panthers Roar

Who for the Panthers could cause problems for the Patriots?

[Read more…] about PatsProp Preview – We’re On To Carolina

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: preview

PatsProp Preview – Heading Out West

October 30, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

(Carmen Mandato/Getty Images)

It’s Week 8 already! The Patriots are over in sunny LA as they look to go 4-4 on the year and keep their 100% win record over Justin Herbert intact. Here’s your preview of tomorrow’s game!

One’s To Watch

Mac Jones

Mac Jones’ improvements have been increasing every week so far this season, with his best game coming in the mauling of the Jets. Tomorrow will be a new test for the rookie, the first long away trip, big stadium, expectations increased of a demanding fan base, but, I love what I’ve seen so far, I back him to continue his good play and have a solid game, watch him closely tomorrow.

Damien Harris

After I put Stevenson on my watch list in Week 7, I’ve decided to just stick with Damien Harris this week, and for good reason. The Chargers have the worst record against the run in the league, and Harris has been on a hot streak of late. If the team can establish the run like they did last week, the passing game should open up nicely for Mac.

Secondary

This position could turn out to be the team’s achilles heel tomorrow. The Pats will be without Jon Jones, who’s now on IR for at least three games and Jalen Mills doesn’t give me a lot of confidence as a replacement. Bill has been working through depth replacements, which is an indication he’s concerned as well.

J.C. Jackson will lead the cornerback group, but they will have their work cut out from the off as the Chargers have some great weapons in the receiving core, not to mention Austin Ekeler, who can be a difference-maker if he’s fit to play.

Matt Judon

After a hot start, Matt Judon has had a few quiet weeks, he’s not been playing badly by any means, but he hasn’t stood out to me as he did through the first few games. In last year’s 45-0 demolition of the Chargers, Herbert was made uncomfortable all day by the Patriots defense, and whilst Herbert has shown considerable improvement in most areas of his game, I think the Patriots can do the same again tomorrow, with Judon being a big part of that.

Electrical Charge ⚡

Who for LA could potentially cause problems for the Patriots?

Justin Herbert

Herbert is a big, athletic quarterback who has definitely made the year-two jump in LA. His rookie season was impressive, and now with a new head coach in Brandon Staley, Herbert has led the team to 4-2 record so far this year. Herbert played the worst game of his career so far against the Patriots last December, so he’ll be itching to prove a point.

Keenan Allen

Allen hasn’t found the endzone much this season, but boy has he helped them move the chains. He is such a terrific pass-catcher and will be a handful for the Pats secondary to cover tomorrow. I think J.C. Jackson will match up against him in all likely hood, but as mentioned above, the secondary is an issue for the team, and having to cover Keenan Allen, let alone the rest of the offensive threats isn’t ideal.

Austin Ekeler

Bill Belichick likened Ekeler to James White this week in his pre-game chat with Scott Zolak, and for good reason, the former UDFA has been dominant for the Chargers over the last few years. Injuries have been a problem for the star running back, Ekeler has been banged up this week and is questionable to play tomorrow, but if he does, it’s a massive weapon for the Chargers, and could be the difference over 60 minutes.

Patriots Fantasy Starter PPR

Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Hunter Henry

Gotta be big 85 this week! If you’re in a bind and need to start fresh at your TE position, throw Hunter in there! He’s looking to have his fifth-straight touchdown game and is averaging 10.63 points so far each week.

Prediction Corner

@ShawMellors – Patriots 38 – Chargers 28

The Patriots continue on from their dominating performance over the Jets last week, Mac throws for 3 touchdowns and Damien Harris continues his dominance on the ground. Patriots 38 Chargers 28

@clazzyclare – Patriots 30 – Chargers 21

Hopefully the weakness of the LAC run defence can be exploited and the Patriots can rack up some points and make a game of it. Patriots 30 LAC 21

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: chargers, preview

PatsProp Preview – Cowboys In Foxboro

October 16, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

Matthew J. Lee/The Boston Globe via Getty Images

My first Patriots game was this matchup back in 2019, a cold Sunday afternoon, the weather was horrific, but, it was an amazing experience for me. I got to see Tom Brady play in one of his final games for the Patriots, N’Keal Harry haul in his first NFL touchdown, and witness the Pats win a close one at Gillette. This time is different, both teams are different, and it could be a struggle for the Patriots to beat the Cowboys.

One’s To Watch

Mac Jones

To be fair, I might as well just keep Mac on this list every week, we’re all watching him like a hawk to see how he develops. The Cowboys have allowed the most passing yards out of all 32 teams in the NFL so far this season with an average of 311.0 yards per game. That being said, Mac Jones has yet to hit 300 yards passing, could this be the game? Keep an eye out for Mac’s production in the red zone tomorrow also, it’s an area the offense needs to get better in.

The Secondary

The secondary unit had a torrid time against Davis Mills and the Texans last week, and in case you forgot, J.C. Jackson was burned by a practice squad wideout. There won’t be any practice squad weapons for the Cowboys tomorrow, just Ceedee Lamb, Amari Cooper, and Dalton Shultz who have combined for 9 touchdowns so far this year, the defensive backfield will have their work cut out, and will need to up their game.

A reminder that Jaylen Mills and Jon Jones are questionable to play with injuries.

Hunter Henry

Tight End production is picking up and Hunter Henry has established himself as the leader of the group. He’s managed to find the end zone in the last two consecutive weeks which is encouraging for an offense that has struggled at times in enemy territory.

I have a feeling that we could be seeing the big fella spiking the ball once again tomorrow, keep an eye out for him.

Damien Harris

Harris should be good to go tomorrow after getting banged up in Houston as he continues to try and find some form, maybe trying too hard perhaps? The line hasn’t helped things, but Harris needs to have a better game this week and try and get the run gaming moving forward, after all, Bill only trusts him in the backfield currently by the looks of things.

Nick Folk

Folk has played a huge part in most of the Patriots wins over the last couple of seasons, and he continues to enjoy the form of his career with the team. I’m sure he’ll be kicking more field goals than extra points as normal tomorrow.

How ‘Bout Them Cowboys?

Who from America’s team poses a threat to the Patriots’ chances of victory on Sunday?

Ceedee Lamb

Lamb is a big danger threat and the Patriots should be very concerned about what he brings to the Dallas offense, he’s lanky and quick, with the ability to get open and haul in balls into tight windows along the sideline. He could be the difference-maker tomorrow.

Tony Pollard

Zeke Elliott is Zeke Elliott, but Tony Pollard has established himself as the future of the Cowboys rushing attack. He’s been excellent over the last few seasons for Dallas and averages 6.4 yards per carry this year, the most out of the league running backs.

Trevon Diggs

Diggs is for me the stand-out player on the Cowboys’ defense as he comes to Gillette Stadium in ridiculous form, looking for his sixth-straight game with an interception. The second-year corner has already doubled his pick tally from last year, hauling in six picks in five games so far this season, he’ll be one to look out for tomorrow.

Patriots Fantasy Starter PPR

Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports

Nick Folk

Big Kick Nick is my PPR pick from the Patriots for your to start in your team this week. He’s currently ranked #1 at the position. Score last week: 17:00 – Average score: 10:40

Prediction Corner

@ShawMellors – Patriots 20 – Cowboys 32

Although overall the Cowboys defense isn’t very good, their offense is much better than the Pats, I can’t see them allowing it to get too cose. Patriots 20 Cowboys 32.

@clazzyclare – Patriots 29 – Cowboys 23

The cowboys have a great offense but if the Patriots defense can just hold them a little and the offensive line steps up this could be an offense vs offense nail-biting game. Patriots 29 Cowboys 23.

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: Dallas Cowboys, preview

PatsProp Preview – Shipping Up To Houston

October 8, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

(AP Photo/Steven Senne)

The Patriots head on the road this Sunday searching for their first win since Week 2 as they take on the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium.

One’s To Watch

Offensive Line

David Andrews will be the only starter playing on Sunday as the Patriots offensive line woes continue. This group will be one to watch, they’ll be without Trent Brown, Shaq Mason to begin with. Then, if things couldn’t get any worse, both Mike Onwenu and Isaiah Wynn are on the COVID list. It’ll be a chance to try and discover a new dynamic of protection for Mac Jones, but I’m not holding my breath. It could be another long day for QB1.

Mac Jones

Mac had an inspiring performance last Sunday when TB12 returned home, but now he needs to push on and lead the team to victory against a poor Houston team. The offense had better success against the Bucs, but they still needed a few trick plays to keep things moving, I’d like to see a few lengthy drives by Mac, keep getting the TE’s involved, and even Bourne and Agholor who are yet to fully break out.

Damien Harris

The Pats run game has fallen to a near non-existent state in recent weeks, with Rhamondre Stevenson and J.J. Taylor battling it out for who can spend the longest amount of time in the doghouse for fumbles, Damien Harris needs to get this going again. But please, no more Brandon Bolden draws.

J.C. Jackson

With Stephon Gilmore out the door, J.C. Jackson is officially the franchise cornerback for the Patriots, and I’d expect him to continue his good performances so far this season against the Texans. I’d be disappointed if the Pats secondary doesn’t come away with any picks from Davis Mills who really hasn’t shown anything special.

Jamie Collins

The Boogeymen are back?! Yep, that’s right, Jamie Collins reunites with Hightower and Van Noy in the linebacker group to try and provide some extra juice to the Pats defense. I’m not overly hyped by this move, I do wonder where Bill is going in terms of young player development/veteran signings, but, I’m interested to see how he gets on in his first game back with the team.

Houston, We Have A Problem

Who from the Texans (if any) could cause the Patriots issues.

Brandin Cooks

Former Patriots speedster has been the only real bright spot for the Texans this year, can cause a problem for any defense with his raw speed on the outside. The Patriots will need to disrupt Mills to avoid any problems with Cooks.

David Johnson

Johnson has tapered off over the last few years, but he’s still a good player in my opinion, through running or catching he has the ability to move the chains and find the end zone. A potential pressure valve for the Houston offense if they’re struggling.

Patriots Fantasy Starter PPR

Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports

Jakobi Meyers

Same as last week, Meyers is a good option to start in your flex position, he scored 16.80 last week with 8 receptions for 67 yards. He’s not likely to find the endzone, but, he will get a bunch of targets against Houston, especially if they cover deep, Meyers can get open over the middle with short passes.

Prediction Corner

@ShawMellors – Patriots 27 – 6 Texans

The Pats will overwhelm a stricken Houston team without their franchise QB, the defense gets a score and Mac Jones continues to progress with the offense. Pats 27 Texans 6

@clazzyclare – Patriots 27 – Texans 12

The depleted offensive line continues to make me nervous and my gut tells me this won’t be as easy a game as it looks on the surface. But the Patriots fought well last week so I think they’ll win this road game. Pats 27 Texans 12

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: preview

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