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As you probably know by now, I put together database of Bill Belichick’s hoodie history that you can find here. While this has primarily been aimed at figuring out Belichick’s performance as classified by his signature hoodie choice, we can also use it to take a stab at what history tells us he should wear this weekend.

First, here’s the latest major hoodie stats since 2003, when the Reebok NFL equipment hoodie Belichick made famous was first introduced.

Now, let’s take a closer look at what Belichick has worn in his eight AFC championship games with the Patriots.

My determination is that Belichick should roll with the 2014 Blue Hoodie with the sleeves, just like he wore last week against the Ravens. Never has he worn a blue hoodie in an AFC championship. He’s 3-1 this season in it, with the one loss being a meaningless one in Week 17 against the Bills.

Belichick is also 13-2 all-time in a blue hoodie with sleeve intact. It’s his most dominant hoodie/sleeve combo.

The weather seems to be lining up favorably for this hoodie, unlike 2007 or 2013, when cold and warm weather respectively forced him out of the hoodie.

Just as long as he doesn’t cut the sleeves. He’s 1-3 in AFCCGs with his forearms out.