Prediction: This colts team is all hype — the offense is reliant on the deep ball and the defense is nothing compared to what we’ve seen recently. With revis/browner taking out Luck’s primary options and DMC covering over the top, I see this game turning into another frustrating (read: sack-filled) day for Luck while Brady will take advantage of his still improving offensive line to wreak havoc on the colts secondary.

Well I hope you’re right, but I think the Colts at home are a difficult matchup regardless of what their weaknesses might be. Especially against the Patriots, I think they’ll be out to prove they’re the best team in the AFC after getting thumped two previous times in New England.

Still, the Patriots don’t flinch and I expect them to put up points. The question for me is if the Colts just flood the coverage and tempt the Pats to run the ball more than they would like.  If they do and the Pats can’t run the ball, the offense could sputter a bit.

Defensively, the problem on defense could be finishing Luck. The coverage should be good, but the pass rushers have to get home, while also containing Luck from running. That will likely be where the game is won or lost.

If the Pats lose I expect we’ll be talking about their lack of a power running game and pass rush. Ayers missed practice today too, they really need him on the edge opposite Ninkovich.

I expect a shootout and the game will be decided by who finishes in the fourth quarter.