You mean you can’t tell that Jerod Mayo just had a season-ending injury from this:
Two questions with the injury to Ridley: 1) Does the team look to make a trade for a starting RB? 2) Who gets the lead role now? I suspect Bill will make it a three man rotation with Vareen, Boulden, and White. But if I was coaching I’d leave Vareen in his current role, and give White the start. See what the rookie can do, with Boulden spelling him. The effectiveness (or lack thereof) of #2 may determine if #1 happens.
I really don’t know what the answer is, there’s just a lot of factors to sort out. The problem is that White seems closer to Vereen than he does to Ridley. And while it could make sense to use White on early downs to minimize the amount he’s in pass protection, I just don’t know if he is ready for that kind of pounding yet.
Of course the easy answer is just roll with Bolden on some early downs but make Vereen the go-to guy on most of the other downs. This might be the best solution because I just don’t think Bolden has what it takes to get the hard yards. But who does?
Who do you run now on the goalline when you have to have a TD? Develin? Jonas Grey certainly has some size. He could make sense there too, but who knows if he’s really more ready than Bolden. Although it does make sense to keep Bolden in his special teams/back up role and just let Grey focus on 1st and 2nd down.
As for trades I have no idea. Trades always come out of nowhere. Projecting them is just such a stretch I don’t even want to attempt to speculate. But I think they stay in house.
The answer is somewhere in here, I’m just not exactly sure how it will all come together and I’m not sure the Pats do either. It’s important to just get through the Jets, hopefully with a W, and then regroup on all of this.
FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Week 6 DVOA Ratings
FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Week 6 DVOA Ratings
Patriots continue to make a climb in my personal favorite DVOA rankings (measuring opponent-adjusted efficiency) from Football Outsiders.
Overall: 11th
Offense: 19th
- Pass: 10th
- Run: 28th
Defense: 10th
- Pass Defense: 9th
- vs. #1 WR: 6th
- vs. #2 WR: 16th
- vs. Other WR: 5th
- vs. TE: 22nd
- vs. RB: 8th
- Run Defense: 16th
Special Teams: 7th
Patriots vs. Bills All 22 Thoughts: Offense Edition
We learned a lot about the New England Patriots offense against the Bills. Are they perfectly unstoppable yet? Nope. But they have a resiliency about them that was shown multiple times in this game.
The protection continues to improve, as does Rob Gronkowski. Along with Edelman and Brandon LaFell the Pats’ attack is looking more and more diverse with each game and that’s a great thing.
While the questions swirl around how they’ll replace Stevan Ridley, there are plenty of other things to feel good about with this offense.
Here’s what stood out on the All 22 film re-watch, offense edition.
Communication on the offensive line stood out on the first third down of the day. Adjusting and passing guys off in perfect sync. This is what takes time to build and the better results are obvious.
Just overall the pocket is much cleaner now as well. No longer is it total chaos with guys flailing all over the place.
Josh Kline whiffs on Dareus on the second drive but Brady already got the ball out. Still, Kline fights pretty hard. Not sure how he wasn’t in the mix early in the year, perhaps injury?
Not sure why we’re running into this front…
Kinda strange to throw a WR screen to Brandon LaFell with Amendola and Edelman blocking for him, but I guess that’s the unexpected.
Ah, the fullback dive… I have a bad feeling we’ll be seeing Develin with more of these. And I like Develin, but the OL just doesn’t seem to be explosive enough off the ball to open those quick seams up front.
It’s really amazing how the Pats neutralized Brandon Spikes in this one. Spikes is a devastating run blocker but the Pats’ game plan completely took him out of the equation.
Not sure what Nate Solder was doing on the sack he gave up in the second quarter. He looked down on the snap and opened the door for Hughes. If he just squares up there’s no sack. Might’ve been a communication thing.
Give Buffalo’s D some credit they swarmed the ball in the running game. Their secondary just couldn’t disrupt Brady’s timing in the pass game.
The next pressure Solder gave up on the next possession was all him though, Hughes just got under him and flew around the corner to flush Brady out. That was the one that got him a seat on the bench the next possession.
If Brady wasn’t pulling it down after looking at Gronk (in middle) he might’ve had Amendola on the out up top.
Ridley’s best run of the day came off a quick snap that the Bills weren’t ready for. Guess you have to get them any way you can.
Spikes gets stuck covering LaFell on a third quarter third down and totally misses the jam allowing a free release. LaFell finds the open zone in the middle of the field and takes it for a first down.
Still just so impressed with Tyms’ touchdown catch. I really hope this is just the beginning with him, he has real deep ball talent. Still, if I’m an opposing defense and I see him come on the field there’s one route I’m bailing and covering downfield.
Gronk did a lot of damage on the outside matched up against cornerbacks. Such a tough assignment for a guy six feet or under.
Total whiff by Josh Kline pulling for Ridley in the third quarter, okay maybe that’s why he was stuck on the bench. BTW – how have I not noticed Jordan Devey yet?
For a guy known for his blocking, LaFell didn’t get anything of his man on the play Ridley got injured. Tough to see again…
Still wondering where the hard-charging-downhill Brandon Spikes was this game. Not that I’m complaining.
Pretty impressive how in sync Edelman and Brady are. He just continues to make it look like Wes Welker never left.
There wasn’t much there for him, but Brandon Bolden sure ain’t generating anything on his own. Is he really about to be the lead early-down back?
This is what it has to look like for Bolden to pick up a chunk of yardage:
Wow, just saw Devey make an open field block to spring Gronk late in the fourth. I don’t know, maybe he isn’t a total loss?
Such a perfect play on LaFell’s touchdown for so many reasons. Offense showing “finish”. Brady showing faith in a new receiver. Love it.
Bolden is not turning this into anything but a loss:
The third-and-long conversion to Gronkowski was one of the best plays of the day. Protection was strong and Brady stood tall and waited for Gronk to get open.
The second LaFell touchdown to close it out was just the icing on the cake.
One of the issues of playing man on every play is just the amount of energy it takes,” said Belichick. “I mean you have to run with the guy 30, 35 yards on a running play because he’s just running you off. It’s really a nothing play for the corner, it’s an inside run, but you don’t know that. You’re in man coverage, the guy runs a go route and you gotta chase him for 40 yards and the ball is back there 40 yards behind you at the line of scrimmage, but you don’t know that. So to do that every single down, is it doable? Yeah. But is it taxing on your secondary to do that, it really is.
https://www.patspropaganda.com/one-of-the-issues-of-playing-man-on-every-play-is/
Patriots vs. Bills All 22 Thoughts: Defense Edition
Simply put, this was a game won by the Patriots defensive line in the trenches. Buffalo clearly wanted to attack the Pats’ run defense but they couldn’t get by Vince Wilfork, Casey Walker, Chris Jones, Rob Ninkovich and Chandler Jones.
Just a very solid defensive showing up front from the Pats where everyone did their job and there weren’t many missed tackles or blown assignments.
Here are things that stood out on the All-22 film review, defense edition.
Chandler Jones showed strong edge awareness early in this one. This is something he wasn’t doing consistently , especially against the Chiefs.
As much as I wanted to see Deontae Skinner pop on the film, he’s still very much a rookie, reacting a moment later to everything than Mayo. He’s not ready to get thrown into the fire with Mayo gone. Last year with Vellano and Chris Jones was one thing, but a linebacker who is involved in so much of the run and pass game is another.
So tough watching Mayo ball out early in this one. He flew into the backfield and blew up this run:
Just very solid team defense all around in the first quarter. Even when tackles were broken the next guy was there to fill, especially the corners and safeties. This is Patriots football. Everyone doing their job. Bills got a couple passes on them, but those were pinpoint throws that are almost impossible to stop.
There were quite a few defenders who couldn’t cover Scott Chandler, and it was Skinner’s turn on the last play of the first quarter. You can see how much Skinner is thinking out there and it’s slowing him down. Looks like his pursuit speed is actually pretty decent.
Here’s Collins’ interception, this is not a pass you want to throw.
Can’t say how much I like Dennard enough. He allows a completion on third-and-three and still instantly makes the tackle short of the first down. Solid, aggressive corner play.
Gronk getting a lot of love for being “back”, but Wilfork is “back” too. Great game from him, just so strong at the point of attack and able to quickly get off blocks inside.
When big running back Bobbie Dixon came in, the Pats were responding with more of a 3-4 front. This makes sense, this is their best run-stopping package. With Casey Walker playing well at nose they’re able to use more 3-4 fronts again.
Even when Dixon gets the edge here, Revis comes up off his block and makes the tackle. Team defense.
Now it’s Patrick Chung’s turn to give up a completion to Chandler, but not really his fault, Revis is in man on Watkins and just picks him. Still, not a great matchup having Chung on a big tight end.
Big whiff by Dennard on Woods’ first touchdown, just couldn’t get a hand on the receiver to disrupt the timing. Nice fake by Woods.
On Spiller’s long run before he fumbled it at the end of the first half it was a good example of Jamie Collins doesn’t have the physicality to be a great run-stopping linebacker. He gets totally blocked by an offensive tackle and can’t disengage. This could be a focal problem going forward without Mayo.
Vince Wilfork singlehandedly just blew up a run and made the tackle. Impressive game from him continues into the third quarter.
Casey Walker splits the double team and makes the tackle. When Siliga gets back the Pats are going to have some options up front. This is good long-term Wilfork insurance as well developing three solid interior DL.
Scott Chandler is about to make this catch with one hand but it’s actually okay position by Tavon Wilson, he just doesn’t look for the ball or get a hand up in time. Did I mention I wanted the Pats to sign Chandler this offseason?
Revis bailed to off-man coverage on the long reception he gave up to Watkins, not sure why the adjustment came but it allowed a free release and Watkins shook Revis near the goalline.
It’s clear how badly the Bills wanted to run on the Patriots but the Patriots defensive line did not allow that to happen. Really it covered up Skinner and Collins’ weaknesses in that area of the game, because just about every play that hit the second level would hit the third level as well. But not many got past the first level.
I really want to find something on Skinner to give us some hope but even his sack was more of a coverage sack. He hesitates again (rookie thing) but that paid off because it opened a lane to Orton. At least he had the speed to go and finish it. I guess that’s a silver lining.
Not sure how Chandler Jones ended up in coverage on Chandler on his catch in the third quarter, but it wasn’t even close once Chandler had to turn and run to cover Chandler. Lot of Chandler going on in that play.
Workman-like effort from Ninkovich as usual as he picks up his third sack of the game. Not flashy, but does his job and if the rest of the defense follows his lead, they’re pretty solid.
In the fourth quarter the Pats put Chandler Jones to press Scott Chandler and Tavon Wilson to cover him. Makes sense finally.
Not a great fourth quarter for Dennard, a missed tackle, then he gets lost in the wash covering on 4th down and gives up a big gainer.
Arrington too had a rough one, giving up the next two completions after Dennard’s long one. Still, tight plays and he’s right there. Sometimes that happens.
In an era when almost every call is complained about, it was nice to see a good old fashioned real pass interference flag.
https://www.patspropaganda.com/in-an-era-when-almost-every-call-is-complained/