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2021 NFL season: how the bookies rate the Patriots chances

September 4, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

September 9 2021, is an important date in the diary of sports fans everywhere as it signals the return of the NFL. The biggest and most famous competition in American Football, the NFL is followed by a global audience with viewers from Las Vegas to London, Texas to Turin. The curtain goes up with a mouth-watering match between the Dallas Cowboys and Tampa Bay Buccaneers before the action steps up a notch on Saturday and Sunday.

The leading betting apps available in certain states of America as well as major cities across the globe offer fans an opportunity to bet on the outcome of the season as well as each upcoming match. Bet on the winner of the regular season to make the playoffs, win the Superbowl, or even to score the first touchdown in a game. There’s something for everyone who is looking for a financial interest in football.

You’ll find the best odds and promotions available on your team when visiting sportsbettingsites.com, and it’s crucial you follow their advice to secure the most generous odds. To stand any chance of making a profit from your football bets, you must have the best prices working in your favor throughout the season.

How do the Vegas traders expect the Patriots to get on in what will be the 102nd season of the National Football League? We can take our clues from the betting before a ball has been kicked in anger on matchday one. Let’s dig a little deeper.

Traders have their say

As dedicated fans of New England will know only too well, the Patriots have won six Superbowl championships between 2001 and 2018 and have been particularly impressive in recent seasons. The team won three Superbowl titles in five seasons but hasn’t finished on top in two seasons. Is that mini drought about to come to an end with New England returning to the head of American Football?

That remains to be seen, but those creating the odds at the most popular online bookies have made their feelings known and offer outright betting odds on the Superbowl winner. The playoffs are scheduled to begin on January 15 2022, with the big one, the Superbowl decider, played on February 13 2022. You can gamble on each stage of the season or look ahead and give yourself a long-term interest by trying to predict the Superbowl winning team. This bet will keep your interest for the entire time your team is in the running.

Will you follow the thinking of the betting traders and go for one of the favorites or take them on with a team with a bigger price attached? In pre-season, many bettors prefer to take a bit of a stab in the dark and play an outsider at big odds for a small stake in the hope of catching an upset and landing a handsome pay-out in addition to the bragging rights.

When making your selections, it’s worth doing as much research as possible. There is no hard and fast way to beat the bookies and make a guaranteed profit from football betting, but there are things you can do to increase your chances, and researching every pick is the best of them. Follow the pre-season transfers and trades, coaches interviews, injury news, formations, and even the COVID latest coming out of the team. With all this information at your hand, you will be well placed to take the bookies on by making an informed decision.

Where do the Patriots feature?

What are the chances of New England returning as kings of the NFL this season? The bookies aren’t sitting on the fence here, pricing New England way down the pecking order with betting odds that suggest the Patriots will be little more than also-rans this term. Pats are 12th on the Superbowl betting list, and that will come as a surprise to many.

Some of the teams thought to have a better chance at winning the Superbowl include the Los Angeles Chargers, Tennessee Titans, and the Seattle Seahawks. There are two ways you can interpret that call from the odds-makers. You can either accept it and take the traders at their word, looking beyond NE for your Superbowl pick this season or you can stick with the Patriots and see the value in backing them at the generous odds offered

Filed Under: Uncategorized

BREAKING – Patriots cut QB Cam Newton

August 31, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

Credit: Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

Wow oh wow. Mac Jones has won the quarterback competition in New England as the Patriots have released Cam Newton.

BREAKING NEWS: The #Patriots have released Cam Newton. Mac Jones is the starting QB in New England. https://t.co/3qE1qu6xqC

— Jim McBride (@globejimmcbride) August 31, 2021

I honestly did not see this coming, I’m shocked. The way a final couple of preseason games went indicated that Cam was the starter and would get the nod to begin the 2021 season, but how wrong was I?!

A couple of things to note here. Firstly, Mac has done enough to show Bill he can be capable of running the offense in the regular season. And second, Cam’s issue with having to isolate may have played a big role moving forward as he was unvaccinated.

Now, this isn’t about if it’s right or wrong to get the vaccine, but the team may have felt it would have put them in a detrimental position if Newton had to isolate with no prior notice before a game during the regular season.

Mac Jones will be the team’s starter in Week 1 against Miami. The first time a rookie has been named starter since Drew Bledsoe in 1993.

Filed Under: Announcement, Breaking News Tagged With: Cam Newton, Mac Jones

Patriots Roster Projection 2.0

August 30, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

Preseason is over, the Patriots finished 3-0 during the now shorter schedule with wins over Washington, Philadelphia, and New York. By 4pm EST tomorrow, the roster will be trimmed down to 53 players, as league rules demand.

Here’s my final 53-man roster projection:

Quarterback (2)

Cam Newton
Mac Jones

PUP – Jarrett Stidham

I have just two QB’s to start the season as I think Stidham will still be on PUP, no place for Hoyer either, whilst his experience is valuable, I can’t see the team using a roster spot on him. Potentially a practice squad addition?

I wouldn’t rule out Stidham being cut tomorrow either, he’s clearly not in the team’s long-term plans.

Running back (5)

Damien Harris
Rhamondre Stevenson
J.J. Taylor
James White
Jakob Johnson (FB)

A couple of weeks ago, I had six backs making the roster, but with Sony Michel traded to the Rams last week, I’ve decided to only keep the other five originally selected.

Damien Harris has established himself as the lead back with Stevenson and Taylor showing remarkable improvements over the last couple of months. James White will be the go-to pass-catcher in the backfield, Jakob Johnson is the team’s fullback.

Wide receiver (5)

Nelson Agholor
Kendrick Bourne
Jakobi Meyers
N’Keal Harry
Gunner Olszewski

Whilst Harry’s future is still up in the air, his injury won’t have helped his trade value, I can’t see him being moved right now and it makes no sense to cut him as he’s still on his rookie deal. Agholor, Bourne, and Meyers are locks. Olszewski makes the team for his return ability alone, he needs to work on his pass-catching.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see the team bring in a new face from waivers or the trade block.

Tight end (4)

Hunter Henry
Jonnu Smith
Devin Asiasi

Matt LaCosse

Four TE’s make it, and the first three are locks. LaCosse was injured during joint training with the Eagles, if he’s fit, he makes it on as the fourth option. The team will want to utilize multiple tight-end formations, but they need this group to stay healthy. Don’t be surprised to see the team active on the waiver wire/trade market in the next week or so.

Offensive line (8)

David Andrews (C)
Ted Karras (C/G)
Shaq Mason (G)
Isaiah Wynn (T)
Trent Brown (T)
Michael Onwenu (G/T)
Justin Herron (G/T)
Yodny Cajuste (T)

Eight make my final total for the offensive line, the majority are locks, but Yodny Cajuste is the one addition to the list I put in my first projection a couple of weeks ago. Cajuste had a strong finish to camp and for my money has earned his spot on the roster.

Rookie Will Sherman never made any strides to earn a spot, the likes of James Ferentz and Alex Redmond could be practice squad candidates.

Defensive line (6)

Henry Anderson
Christian Barmore
Lawrence Guy
Davon Godchaux

Deatrich Wise Jr.
Carl Davis

Christian Barmore has been really fun to watch in the preseason games, his strength stands out among all else as time and again he’s caused major disruption in the pocket against opposition QB’s. Henry Anderson makes the team, along with Guy and Godchaux, who I think will have a good year against the run. Deatrich Wise signed a big deal in the offseason, he’s not going anywhere, and Carl Davis is in for depth.

Linebacker (7)

Dont’a Hightower
Kyle Van Noy
Matt Judon
Josh Uche
Chase Winovich
Ronnie Perkins
Ja’Whaun Bentley

This is the position that will be fun to watch this year. The top four are locks, I have no interest in Winovich leaving, he makes my roster, I think he can have a big role this season, but, a small part of me thinks he may get traded. Perkins is in after a fairly quiet first camp for him, and Bentley, who’s had some flashes in the preseason, completes the group.

[Read more…] about Patriots Roster Projection 2.0

Filed Under: Training Camp Tagged With: roster projection

Preseason closes as the Patriots head to the Big Apple and take a bite!

August 30, 2021 by Clare Cooper

A win is a welcome sight, like that first cup of coffee after a sleep deprived evening watching your favourite team play.

But it is all about perspective, as I may have said before. Perception, a 22 – 20 win over the New York Giants that didn’t look easy. Concerns for the Patriots future, you bet your butt I have some.

That’s not to say they played terribly, but even after three preseason games, on the cusp of the commencement of the 2021 regular season, there are a lot of questions to be answered in New England.

I’m not really going to go into the quarterback kerfuffle because it’s the longest topic we have seen since Tom Brady had a dynasty, and even though a lot of people feel that from the way Mac Jones played (pretty decent, not great, not awful) and from how many snaps Cam Newton took, nine by the way, Cam Newton is probably going to be the regular season starter. When asked if he had decided who will be QB1 come September 12th, Coach said no.

So I shall refill my coffee mug and move right along folks!

Right now fans are wondering who is going to make the roster of 53 tomorrow, and a guy I thought maybe wasn’t as much on the bubble as he was last year is Gunner Olszewski. 

Unfortunately, his performance last night does not fill me with confidence. Now into his third Patriots year Gunner seem to struggle, and with some of the “bread and butter” of his position. A lovely throw from Mac Jones that hit his hands — the wide receiver should have caught that. 

Michael Jackson Sr was a name I heard all over the place at camp, and in a good way. However, last night was not his night, and that’s not great when you’re a “bubble guy.” He was in a multitude of unfortunate situations and penalties such as defensive holding and too many men on the field, and that helps bring a guys stock down. Don’t get me wrong, this isn’t a slight on him, it always sucks when players have to get cut. My perspective is the way he played last night may be unfortunate timing. 

Defense was something that was added to considerably in the off season and with some nice big bodies. Henry Anderson was one such nice big body. However, I don’t feel I have been delivered as promised. I was really excited to see this guy but it’s been so quiet surrounding him. I’m unsure if it’s just the addition of too much depth and he hasn’t really had his chance, or if he just hasn’t sparkled. But I have to admit I am concerned that a guy I thought would be a lock, may find himself out in the cold come Tuesday night. 

But hey I’m not all full of negativity this Monday morning! And whilst I’m trying to be full of coffee, I have still plenty of optimism left in the tank. 

Speaking of coffee, a player full of beans that pleased (ha! You see what I did there? Okay… Anyway…) was definitely J.J. Taylor. I was in on this kid last year and this year he just looks explosive. Small and compact with such power, Taylor wasn’t just sparkling, he was on fire!

It’s no secret the run game is a Patriot thing, and another running back who has really shown promise is Rhamondre Stevenson. His name popped up on the call sheet significantly too this game. I think I’m going to do one of those Cam Newton nickname thingies again and dub this kid Steamerson, this kid steams through the defense!

With some uncertainty at the cornerback position (I’m not getting into all the Gilmore stuff this morning, let’s just put uncertainty there and leave it at that), D’Angelo Ross really stepped up and played for his job. His tackle on the Giants’ tight end Evan Engram for an interception was delicious. If uncertainty continues to plague the position as well as injury, Ross may have put himself in a good position with his efforts last night.

Another player that stepped up during position depletion due to injury is Devin Asiasi. I will be honest here folks, although they may call me the Empress of Tight Endage (there’s also the Queen of TE’s, the Baroness of Blockers… it’s all in good fun) but I was ready to cut Asiasi whilst pondering my own 53.

I know I know some of you will say how unrealistic that may be considering the lack of healthy tight ends we have presently and the fact that he is a second year third round drafted player. But in my defense, I hadn’t seen much from this guy to get me excited and that what I wanted to see. Perhaps he got wind of me cutting him because last night he played great. Catching a back shoulder field route from Mac Jones, 4 receptions for 64 yards over all, Devin Asiasi may just find himself on ClazzyClare’s 53 man roster.

But in all seriousness now, Asiasi had been possibly dealing with the after effects of suffering from COVID as well as not the best first season a rookie can have training camp and experience wise. Many people have many good things to say about him and I think maybe last night he finally got the opportunity to display that.

So there you have it you lovely Patriots fans, the preseason is in the bag with a nice unblemished score card too. Let’s move forward with a little perspective, there’s still a lot to do and a lot of answers to find, but its Monday and it’s time to fill up your coffee mugs and just enjoy.

Go Pats!

Filed Under: Uncategorized

Patriots acquire rookie CB Shaun Wade via Trade with Baltimore

August 26, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

(AP Photo/Gail Burton)

A position in need of depth was addressed today as Shaun Wade was acquired in a trade with the Ravens which saw a 7th-round pick for 2022 and a 5th-round pick for 2023 go the other way.

The #Ravens are close on a trade of fifth-round pick CB Shaun Wade, the former Ohio State standout, to the #Patriots, sources. A high-ceiling player likely added to New England’s secondary.

— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) August 26, 2021

Wade, who played football in college for Ohio State, was chosen in the 5th-round in this year’s draft by Baltimore. After a fairly strong start to camp, there was a lot of interest in his services on the trade market, Baltimore decided to cash in on the rookie. With their secondary already pretty stacked, reporters noted that Wade would have struggled to make the 53-man roster, and Baltimore clearly felt he wouldn’t survive waivers to get him back on the practice squad.

It adds another body to the position that needed depth, with Stephon Gilmore still sitting out of camp, Wade will come straight in to compete for his place in the lineup, look out for him this Sunday in the final pre-season game against the Giants.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=po6JXMglJVg

Filed Under: Announcement Tagged With: Shaun Wade

BREAKING – Patriots trade RB Sony Michel to the LA Rams

August 25, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

(AP Photo/Steven Senne)

Some news this morning as you wake up, former first-round pick Sony Michel is heading to LA for two late conditional draft picks (that can turn into a single fourth-rounder).

Patriots are trading RB Sony Michel to the Los Angeles Rams in exchange for two late-round conditional draft picks, per sources.

New England gets back two picks, the Rams get needed talent and depth at running back.

— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) August 25, 2021

Not a big surprise here for me, given the buzz around the team’s depth at the position, and with Michel in the final year of his rookie deal, the Patriots clear off some space and get some future picks in return.

Michel never really reached the heights of his drafting position, unlike college team-mate Nick Chubb, who was drafted a whole round later than Michel and has become a franchise player for Cleveland.

The #Rams currently don’t have a fourth rounder. But it’s likely they get one with S John Johnson leaving in free agency. So the late picks serve as a place holder for the real compensation — which is a fourth round comp pick. https://t.co/ZXG0KUKgPj

— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) August 25, 2021

Rapsheet gives an update on compensation here, stating that the fifth and six round conditional picks will likely become a fourth-rounder in due time, a fair trade in my opinion.

My new Patriots salary cap space number after the Sony Michel trade and moving Marcus Martin to IR is $11,645,475 – a $477,731 increase from my last update.

— Patscap's Patriots Cap Space Number is in Bio (@patscap) August 25, 2021

Here’s the cap update from Miguel at @Patscap as always.

Filed Under: Announcement, Breaking News, Trades Tagged With: sony michel, trade

EXTRA! EXTRA! Read all about it! The Patriots have picked up a new tight end!

August 24, 2021 by Clare Cooper

The transactions are usually going the opposite way but the Patriots have claimed Kehale Warring off waivers from the Houston Texans.

Drafted in 2019 with the 86th pick by the Texans, Kahalekuiokalani Michael Wodehouse “Kahale” Warring is a rather ideal tight end.

Of athletic ability, Warring ran a rather nippy 4.67 second 40 yard dash, with a 7.21 second 3-cone drill at the combine. 

Unfortunately, he spent his rookie year with the Texans on injured reserve, and only saw game action from November 2020, in the course of seven games for three receptions and thirty-five yards.

6 foot 5 and 252 pounds, Warring is definitely of the tight end stature, and is a big body the Patriots could really use in the tight end room right about now.

With Henry, Smith, and LaCosse sustaining injuries during practices, and Dalton Keene on IR for the season it left only Devin Asiasi playing the position as a true tight end last week against the Eagles. The Patriots are presently woefully lacking in what I like to refer to as tight endage. 

With the release of David Wells and Troy Fumagalli the position is a little bit of a carousel at the moment. And whilst camp bodies are undoubtedly needed, if the Patriots are looking at running those two tight end (or even three tight end) sets we have been hearing about, they definitely need more than li’l Devin Asiasi.

I don’t know about you, but I’m definitely looking forward to having a bit of a look-see of Kahale Warring.

Go Pats!

Filed Under: Uncategorized

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