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October 2, 2015 by Mike Dussault


Bill Belichick’s “Bend-Don’t-Break” Defense in One Simple Chart (2001-2015)

Much has been made over the years of Bill Belichick’s “Bend-Don’t-Break” philosophy on defense. Now it is an easy excuse when the defense gives up a ton of yards but still win the game because Tom Brady scored more points. 

But as we can see this has always been Belichick’s philosophy, even going back to 2003 and 2004, years everyone remembers as the prime of defense in New England. 

The chart above breaks down the Bend side, including yards-per-drive and plays-per-drive, and the Break side, including points-per-drive and turnovers-per-drive.

As you can see the Patriots are rarely in the top-10 for the yards (twice) and plays (three times) they give up every drive. But when it comes to the points and turnovers, they’re almost always in the top half of the league, and usually top five or ten.

Even last year’s over-romanticized defense gave up sustained drives but when it came to the red zone they closed the door.

This speaks to Belichick’s philosophy of playing disciplined but not over-aggressive defense. They might not get off the field as quickly as we all might like, but by forcing the offense to earn every yard, more often than not they get a stop or a turnover.

https://www.patspropaganda.com/bill-belichicks-bend-dont-break-defense-in-one/

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: analysis, bill belichick, defense, new england patriots

With the Pats on TNF and on the bye, I’ve got to watch some other prime time games and can’t comprehend how ridiculous some of these prime broadcast crew (CBS/NBC) seem to consciously do everything to protect PManning from any criticism. It’s ridiculous, it’s Kubiak’s offense if he falters and when he succeeds, it’s because he’s allowed to command his offense. It’s astonishing how they can be opposite and critical of Brady. That when Pats succeed, it’s because of McDaniel’s. Your thoughts?

October 2, 2015 by Mike Dussault

Honestly I tune the announcers almost entirely out and that’s if I’m not watching the game on mute, which I usually do for non-Pats games or ones they’re losing.

I relate this to sports radio too, where these guys have to talk for three hours and they have to provide a narrative, and they’re almost assured to say something dumb or have a forced take. Without forced narratives football can actually be pretty boring. 

I mean I think my blog is generally pretty boring because it’s realistic in its perspective. I don’t really deal in hot takes,  I like a calm level-headed, long-term strategic approach, but if you’re in the big media you can’t really do that. The team either has to suck or be headed for 16-0. Peyton Manning is either DONE or hanging in there for one last title run.

So I don’t really listen to who gets the credit or the blame from the announcers. Boiled down, it’s the Brady or Belichick debate. Would Belichick be the same failed coach in Cleveland without Brady? Or would Brady be just another out-of-the-league 6th round pick without Belichick? The media would have you believe one of them is along for the ride with the other.

But the truth is that they’re intertwined in a way that cannot be broken. Belichick was smart enough to evolve the team to Brady’s strengths. Brady worked hard enough to develop those strengths along with his weaknesses. Together they made what the Patriots are today and you can’t extract either of them from that equation.

As always it just goes back to IGNORE THE NOISE.

Filed Under: Uncategorized

Boston Herald/Byrne: What parity? In NFL, only teams with stud QBs thrive

October 2, 2015 by Mike Dussault

Boston Herald/Byrne: What parity? In NFL, only teams with stud QBs thrive

This is so very true, and while I feel lucky to follow one of the teams with a great quarterback, I am really more of a fan of football defense so I’d like to see the pendulum swing back the other way. Just hopefully after Brady retires. 

Can’t they just ease off on how you’re not allowed to so much as breathe on a receiver more than 4.99 yards downfield now? There have to be some subtle rule changes that can level the playing field just a bit as far as the passing game. What about something just to reduce “Flacco’ing?” You know, just tossing an underthrown ball and praying for a PI call?

Now defenses can’t hit or touch anyone until they’ve made the catch and are running freely through the field. This might be enjoyable football for those of us with good quarterbacks, but for everyone else they’re just fooling themselves if they think they have a chance to consistently compete with a great ground game and tough defense (cough Rex Ryan)…

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: sports

Can you remember a time when the Patriots had greater depth at safety? McCourty, Chung, Harmon, Richards, Wilson, Ebner. Maybe not as strong as the Seahawks at the top two, but it’s a deep group.

October 2, 2015 by Mike Dussault

Yeah I think it speaks a bit to how the game has evolved and the need for physical presences inside the box who can cover. Moreso than old Will linebackers who might not have quite enough speed on strong safety types.

Someone like Patrick Chung has become much more useful as a player than he might’ve been when he first entered the league and was being asked to play more as a traditional back end safety. Now they can use him as a linebacker, only make him cover tight ends as opposed to slot receivers who lit him up early in his career.

It’s a very specific plan with the safeties. McCourty is back end FS in regular with Chung in the box. On third downs they’ll bring in Harmon to cover the back end and then use McCourty however they see fit whether it’s also on the back end in Cover 2 or in the box as a coverage guy.

I’m most curious to see how Richards evolves because the perfect player for this role would be a physical strong safety who also has the range to cover the back end. That’s a rare player but certainly one Belichick seems intent on trying to find.

Filed Under: Uncategorized

You have mentioned how the Patriots have morphed from a somewhat traditional 3-4 defense to a 4-3 hybrid. Despite the difficulties in comparison, do you believe that the current Patriots’ roster has more front-7 depth than at any other time under Belichick? I was considering this as a possibility even before the acquisitions of Bostic and Hicks.

October 2, 2015 by Mike Dussault

YES YES YES. Not just depth either, it’s versatility. As I’ve written many times before tracking the defensive overhaul that started in 08/09 was a major area of focus for me as a blogger with a penchant for Xs and Os.

Belichick’s defense evolved from the Fairbanks-Bullough 3-4 defense. There are a couple different versions of the 3-4, but this one had 3 big defensive lineman who would “two-gap”, which means they’d attack their blocker, control him and cover both gaps to both sides. While those 3 were holding up the offensive lineman it was the job of the 4 linebackers to make the plays.

That’s where you can see the somewhat conservative roots of Belichick’s defensive philosophy. Not one that goes all-out attacking, but one that wins with physicality upfront and linebackers who can make plays.

What the defense has evolved to now is a merging of the nickel defense and the two-gapping principals so that they’re more effective against the pass one early downs. The problem with the old 3-4 is that you had three defensive linemen who weren’t overly concerned with pass rushing on early downs. Yes, guys like Richard Seymour
could pick up their tackle and carry him to the QB, but generally they were more concerned with controlling their blocker and making sure no one ran through either of their gaps.

Belichick still uses the 3-4 defense to teach in the early days of camp. This doesn’t mean they’re a 3-4 team anymore really, but it’s how the team learns to two- or one-gap, the communication calls, etc.

The lockout in 2011 pushed this transition forward because there was less time in camp to install so Belichick just went straight to the nickel front and a lot of those elements remain.

So now, really what you’re looking at is almost a more of a 2-5 defense than a 4-3 although that’s what it looks like. The two defensive tackles can be moved around to attack certain areas, and you’ll even see a mix of one tackle (Siliga/Branch) two-gapping while the other will be one-gapping (Easley).

The difference now is that there are just more athletes on the field, even in “base”, and they’re better equipped to attack the quarterback on early downs. And when you look at  what the DE/LBs on the roster can do, it gives Belichick/Patricia so many options to confuse.

That’s another big tenet of the original 3-4 that has carried over – the ability to disguise. In the old 3-4 it was the OLBs that were the queen pieces because you could blitz or drop guys like Willie McGinest
/Mike Vrabel/Rosey Colvin. Now they can do the same thing with not only their OLBs like Donta Hightower

and Jamie Collins
, but with the DEs as well.

Filed Under: Uncategorized

October 2, 2015 by Mike Dussault

One executive who’s worked with DeGuglielmo described him to me: “He has the interior OL personality. … I think guys like playing for him because he’s honest and they think he equips them with what they need to know preparation-wise to go out on Sunday and be successful. He tells it like it is. He can be firm but also put his arm around a guy when he needs it. Just an all-around good guy that’s passionate about ball and offensive-line play.” Taking all this into account, it’s hard to believe the guy spent 2013 in sports radio in South Carolina after getting fired by the Jets.

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000547487/article/london-team-by-2022-nfl-continues-to-forge-forward-in-uk

https://www.patspropaganda.com/one-executive-whos-worked-with-deguglielmo/

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: dave deguglielmo

October 2, 2015 by Mike Dussault


Check out our tee shop!

https://www.patspropaganda.com/check-out-our-tee-shop/

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: new england patriots

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