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On the Patriots defensive front seven and specialization

January 19, 2011 by Mike Dussault

While I’ve been blogging about the Pats since the 2007 season this was the first time I really took the time to re-watch the games to try and crack the defensive code of what exactly the Patriots do on defense.

You can look over at the column on the right to see where I recorded snap percentages, my interpretations of defensive game plans, and a rough note of what formations were used. Look, I don’t claim that any of it is one hundred percent airtight accurate, but when you look at the entire body of work you start to understand a lot of things that most Patriots fans don’t see when they just watch the game once.

When you lack a lot of three down players in your front seven you have to become a team of specialization. What made previous Patriots teams so good was that players like Mike Vrabel, Willie McGinest, and Richard Seymour were so versatile they could play every down, pass or run. The fact that they were big, physical players certainly helped.

Now the Patriots lack players like that, outside of Jerod Mayo, Vince Wilfork and maybe Gerard Warren who was versatile more out of necessity due to injuries than being  versatile. While Jermaine Cunningham could project as a three down OLB down the road, there doesn’t appear to be much more versatility in the defensive front seven. You can go right down the line and categorize every other player as a run or pass player.

Of course there will always be specialists. Ted Johnson was the Brandon Spikes of old. Roman Phifer was the Gary Guyton of old. But really where you’d love to have the versatility is with your defensive ends and outside linebackers, who can hopefully be interchangeable to some extent.

Much is made that the Pats play a 3-4 defense and that influences what players they’ll consider when drafting. Well there’s a lot more to it than that.

  • This overall Patriots system, which is much more than just a 3-4 defense, requires intelligent players who understand how to read and react. 
  • Players who can only get upfield are not ideal fits.
  • Lineman need to be able to hold their ground against multiple blockers. That is priority one.
  • OLBs must must must be able to drop into coverage.

So while everyone’s talking about needing an outside linebacker or defensive end, take into consideration that versatility is really the key ingredient especially when you’re talking about first or second round picks.

Jermaine Cunningham didn’t exactly light the world on fire in 2010, but he was solid in both the run game and pass game, playing what is arguably the hardest position to play in the Patriots defense as a rookie. Look for a big jump from him in 2011.

Similar to the tight ends on the other side of the ball, the OLBs must be physical enough to hold their ground and defeat tackles, while also having the agility to jam and cover tight ends. So it’s not really a secret why the Pats haven’t been able to find the next Vrabel or McGinest yet. Those players don’t grow on trees.

The Pats were only in their 3-4 defense for less than half the snaps of 2010 as again, it’s really only used to stop the run. So it’s important to consider their nickel and dime defenses when considering what personnel to add.

The problem with the sub defenses arose again from their lack of versatility in the defensive front seven. Because their sub package lineman like Mike Wright, Myron Pryor, and later Landon Cohen were much more suited for pass rush the Pats were often victimized by sub runs. Of course the injuries to Wright and Pryor magnified the problem. And a player like Ty Warren would’ve been a big help in those regards. Let’s remember Vince Wilfork wasn’t a three down lineman until this year.

The other problem with so much specialization is that it hurts how much disguise you can do. If TBC was in the game, teams knew the Pats were less prepared to stop the run. If Rob Ninkovich was in they knew the Pats were thinking run.

One area of specialization that I would like to touch on is that of the DPR (designated pass rusher). When most people say the Pats need to address OLB in the draft what they’re really talking about is a DPR. They want someone who’s sole job is to get after the quarterback. 

This year, with so many draft picks I think BB should really consider spending a high pick on someone who might not have the coverage skills yet to play OLB, but is relentless getting after the quarterback. 

When you look at the DPRs from 2010 you had Cunningham, Shawn Crable, then finally Eric Moore. Tully Banta-Cain could fall into this category as well, though the others stayed only in that role when they had it (cunningham obviously moved on the playing some 3-4 OLB). Hand-down as a left defensive end in nickel and dime packages. We all know the Patriots struggles with getting after the quarterback, I think the time is now to address this spot once and for all.

So as you begin to read mock drafts and research the draft take all this into consideration. Think about everything that a potential player will do for the Patriots. Will he just be a DPR, or is he a four down player like Devin McCourty?

This draft is an important one. As I’ve said since last year the 2011 draft will be a huge part of setting up another dynastic run.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: defense, new england patriots, Specialization

New England Patriots 2011 Opponents

January 19, 2011 by Mike Dussault

Welp in keeping with the theme of turning the page to next season, here’s the list of who the Pats are going to playing with some observations.

Chiefs – Cassel, Vrabel and crew return to Foxboro.
Chargers – SD comes to NE for the first time since the Pats last playoff win. Ugh.
Cowboys – Pats fans get to see a 3 down OLB up close (Demarcus Ware)
Giants –  Eli should have a lot of fun playing in NE.
Bills – Pats win.
Dolphins – Phins taking half step back, hope this game is in Dec/Jan. 
Jets – this game won’t be hyped or anything.
Colts – Peyton Manning should have his weapons back.

Broncos – games in Denver have not been kind to the Pats in recent years.
Raiders – this could be my road trip game of the year.
Eagles – exciting match-up against a Vick and company.
Redskins – Pats win.
Bills – Pats win.
Dolphins – always a battle in South Florida. 
Jets  – Pats haven’t won there in 2 seasons.
Steelers – another battle against two top AFC teams.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: 2011 Opponents, new england patriots

Cutting a Welker report off at the knees

January 19, 2011 by Mike Dussault

If you haven’t heard it yet I’m sure it will pop up somewhere so this is a preemptive attempt to provide some perspective on the twitter personality known as “Incarcerated Bob” and this tweet that he made this morning:

**BREAKING NEWS** Patriots are looking into shopping WR Wes Welker this off-season : Pats believe they can get a 2nd RD pick or early 3rd

I can’t say that I definitively know that this is untrue, but I do know that Bob reports a lot of stuff that never happens. His tweets surrounding Jim Harbaugh were pretty comical, he had Harbaugh as a lock to multiple places multiple times.

It’s also worth mentioning that Bob is a Jets fan, so we can’t rule out him just trying to drive a stake between the Pats and Welker after his first series benching.

Finally, and most logically, the season ended three days ago. Are we to assume that the Patriots, namely BB, already sat down, decided that they’d be better off getting either a 3rd second or third round pick than they’d be with WW coming into year two after an ACL injury (usually the year they get back to 100%)? Not only did they decide all this but they told people who then somehow leaked word back to Incarcerated Bob? Highly doubtful.

Perhaps Bob or his sources (likely Jets related) saw a small rift between BB and WW and wanted to try to up the stakes. The fact is that players have had rifts with BB before, but once it’s over with it’s in the past. So I find it unlikely that there would be residual tension based on Welker getting benched for one series.

Welker is signed through 2011, so there could be some contract discussions with him about an extension this offseason. But right now his cap number is manageable so there’s no reason to think it would be a salary related move.

So all in all, if/when news of this “report” catches on take it with a grain of salt and consider the source.  

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: new england patriots, wes welker

ProFootball Focus: Patriots Pass Protection Not Problem

January 19, 2011 by Mike Dussault

Here’s a little nugget from Pro Football Focus that I found interesting:

Frankly this appears to be getting to the point of obsession for some Pats fans. Who comes up with this stuff? “no pressure should get through on a 3 man rush”. Why? One person is always single blocked and for any line-man to hold a 1 on 1 block for more than 4 seconds is good.

Let’s look at the raw numbers: Brady was pressured on only 18% of his drop backs (9 of 50)Of the 512 games played by QBS this year how many times do you think a QB dropping back 40 or more times was under less pressure? 11; that’s right just eleven times! So this was in the bottom 3% of pressure anyone had all year.

Of the 9 plays in which he did get pressure only one in my book did come on a 3 man rush; that was the second and here the thing which caused Brady to step into Ellis (who was reasonably well blocked) was Light 1 on 1 with Taylor off the edge.For the remainder every pressure came from 4 or 5 man rushes against a single player block and even some of those (in hindsight) were harsh. The only really sub-optimal pieces of Protection were Crumpler’s block on Pace (1 on 1) which allowed the sack, the first sack where Ellis badly beat Connolly outside( 1 on 1) and a later pressure by Ellis (through Connolly 1 on 1) which led to a sack.In my view, all of the o-line, other than Connolly, did a great job in pass protection and to blame them really is clutching at straws the purpose of which I couldn’t even guess at.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: new england patriots, new york jets

Playbook breaks down what Jets did on D vs. Patriots

January 19, 2011 by Mike Dussault

Playbook breaks down what Jets did on D vs. Patriots

Playbook is the only show that I’ll be able to watch on TV for the next few weeks and segments like these are the reason why. There’s no rhetoric, it’s just game film and insight into what was going on inside the chess match up.

As you can see the Jets had a great game plan and executed it flawlessly. I wish that I had the football knowledge to know what the Pats could’ve done differently. I think it probably has a lot to do with just not being ready to play, Deion and Wes both have the quickness to get off jams and get open, but not on Sunday.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: new england patriots, new york jets

PFT: Patriots off-season needs

January 18, 2011 by Mike Dussault

PFT: Patriots off-season needs

It’s so hard to really know for sure what’s going to happen with the offensive line between now and next summer. Is Vollmer really the LT of the future? Because if he is the time would probably be now to move him there. But Light is such a leader of that group, replacing him cannot be gone about lightly (no pun intended). Can the bridge with Mankins be mended? And how does Nick Kaczur fit in? He can play almost any position on the line so it’s a good bet he could well be back in a starting spot somewhere, be it for Mankins at LG or replacing Vollmer at RT if Vollmer goes to LT.

Offensive line is by far the most interesting area to watch on that side of the ball. There and running back.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: new england patriots

January 18, 2011 by Mike Dussault

I think the biggest thing Bill Belichick has to consider is whether he’s willing to use a late first-round pick on a pass-rusher who might project to play only on third down. Ideally, a team wants its first-rounder to be able to play all three (or even four) downs, but I think those standards can be loosened if you think you have an explosive edge rusher who could help your sub packages. The Patriots were in sub packages more than 50 percent of the time. The way I look at it is that the Patriots were willing to pay Tully Banta-Cain a generous contract to fill that type of role, so why wouldn’t they consider a first-round pick in that type of role?

Mike Reiss, echoing something I posted yesterday…

https://www.patspropaganda.com/i-think-the-biggest-thing-bill-belichick-has-to/

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: new england patriots

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