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Week 4 Scouting Report: Buffalo Bills

September 28, 2016 by Adam Magnacca

After an incredibly satisfying trouncing of the Texans, the Bills all of a sudden might not be the cakewalk we thought them to be. Sexy Rexy’s squad showed some life in a defeat of the Arizona Cardinals. Fun Fact of the Day, that was Chandler Jones’ first loss to Buffalo since he’s been in the league (not counting Week 17 of the 2014 season where several starters sat). Now it’s time to find out if Buffalo actually has any fight in them.

Here’s everything you need to know about the Bills aka “The Super Ryan Brothers”

Week 4: vs. Buffalo Bills (Tickets)

Sunday, October 2

1pm EST, CBS

Mostly Cloudy, High 60’s

Opponent/Patriots Stats:
Bills: 1-2
Notable Games: Week 2 vs. NY Jets. Rex Ryan fired OC Greg Roman after the game.

Common Opponents: Arizona Cardinals (Buffalo 33-18)

Recent games vs. Pats: Week 2 of 2015 (NE 40-32), Week 11 of 2015 (NE 20-13)

[table id=16Bills1 /]

Notable Players

TYROD TAYLOR QB: 47/77 comp (61%), 527 yards, 3 TDs, 2 INTs, 83.6 rating

LESEAN MCCOY RB: 48 carries, 227 yds, 4.7 avg, 3 TDs, 1 fumble, 11 rec, 49 yds,

SAMMY WATKINS WR: 6 rec, 63 yds, 10.5 avg, 0 TDs,

KYLE WILLIAMS DT

Injury Alerts

Patriots:

Jimmy Garappolo is still dealing with an AC joint injury. While the arrow is pointing up on his recovery (Garappolo was at practice on Tuesday), I wouldn’t anticipate him playing. If he does play, expect JFG to be limited in his throwing.

Jacoby Brissett has injured his right thumb according to multiple reputable outlets. However, the severity is up for debate. Adam Schefter of ESPN reported that Brissett would be fine to throw. Brisket was also at practice on Tuesday. Expect to see Brissett out there for the start

Dont’a Hightower was inactive last week and the defense posted a shutout so obviously Hightower was the problem *sarcasm emoji.* Having him back would be a help to the defense and free up Jamie Collins to do more. Keep an eye on the injury report today for his status.

Rob Gronkowski played last game for the first time this season but was obviously limited. Coaches seemed to have him on a snap count. You figure this week he’ll be a little more effective and have a little more juice in him considering the 10 days off between games. Hopefully, we see more of the Gronk that will make Sexy Rexy quiver in his boots.

Jonathan Cooper is probably a ghost. Who knows when we’ll see him.

Bills:

Sammy Watkins is the stud Buffalo receiver who has struggled to get healthy since the offseason. He had surgery on a stress fracture in his foot. He played Weeks 1 and 2 but it was reported he was dealing with significant pain, explaining his low numbers. Watkins was inactive last week. He’s one who, if he plays, doesn’t look to be very effective.

Key Matchups:

Patriots:

vs. WR1: 14th —–  vs. Logan Ryan vs. Sammy Watkins

vs. WR2: 20th —– Malcolm Butler vs. Marquise Goodwin

vs. other WR: 16th —– Justin Coleman vs. Robert Woods

vs. RB: 21st —– Jamie Collins vs. LeSean McCoy

Bills:

vs. WR1: 30th —– Julian Edelman vs. Stephon Gilmore

vs. WR2: 23rd —– Chris Hogan vs. Ronald Darby

vs. TE: 12th —– Rob Gronkowski vs. Aaron Williams

vs. RB: 11th —– James White vs. Preston Brown

What’s at stake?

New England’s second division game in four weeks is of course an important game. Winning the first meeting puts less weight on the next meeting. However, as many have pointed out, the team is playing with house money. A win here would provide a huge confidence boost to the team for Tom Brady’s return. However, a 3-1 record with arguably the best QB of all time returning to the team is an incredible place to be. Also, an L here wouldn’t be the worst thing in the world. It would take the pressure of 16-0 off of the team, which is not to be underrated.

Early thoughts:

I think it is fair to say NE should be equipped to handle Buffalo. They have had their DB depth tested before this season with the Cardinals and play the matchup game better than anyone else. The only worry is that the Ryan Brothers are able to confuse whatever young QB is under center for the Patriots. Although, NE won’t give Brissett anything confusing to have to decipher on the field so any trickeration on Buffalo’s part might be for naught.

Filed Under: Opponent Scouting Report Tagged With: bills

Patriots vs. Texans Film Review: Defense Edition

September 27, 2016 by Mike Dussault

The Patriots defense pitched their first shutout since 2012 in Week 17. Before that you have to go all the way back to the snow blowout of the Titans in 2009. So there was plenty to like from this performance, especially against a revamped Houston offense that is not without their fair share of threats.

The biggest schematic adjustment this week came in the form of a shift toward more Cover-2, which put Devin McCourty and Duron Harmon over the top on both sides of the field. This took away the deep passing game that was so vital to the Texans in their first two games.

The Pats primarily played out of a three-safety set because of this, putting more pressure on the front six to stop the run, but they did just that.

The result was pretty much a start-to-finish domination that laid to rest some of the uneasiness we felt after the Pats were torched in the second halves of their first two games.

Here’s what else stood out from the defensive film review… [Read more…] about Patriots vs. Texans Film Review: Defense Edition

Filed Under: Film Review Tagged With: malcolm butler, malcom brown, texans

Comparing the 2016 Patriots Quarterbacks

September 26, 2016 by Rick Starke

tom brady jimmy garoppolo

The Patriots have three quarterbacks on their payroll as of this writing. All three of those quarterbacks have a win percentage in games they have started that is greater than 75% in games that count (regular and postseason). All three of those quarterbacks have been drafted by the Patriots, and played for no other professional team (actually, as of this writing the Patriots have never started a non-homegrown, non-drafted quarterback in the entire Kraft-owned era. That’s really cool and will never come up in Trivial Pursuit).

These three quarterbacks have all displayed different strengths and weaknesses to their skill sets. As of next Monday, we will hopefully only care about the skill set of one, singular quarterback from then until at least February…so, before that happens (despite how nice it would be to have one more start from to evaluate the second and/or third guys…), let’s take a look at what these guys all bring to the table.

[Read more…] about Comparing the 2016 Patriots Quarterbacks

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: jacoby brissett, jimmy garoppolo, tom brady

Patriots Monday Morning Wakeup Call

September 26, 2016 by Mike Dussault

Tom Brady GIFPlenty to digest from the weekend’s slate of games. Most importantly, the Patriots now have a two game lead in the AFC East. Without Tom Brady. Yup.

One more against the Bills at home, and then our sweet prince shall return and all will be right with the football world once again.

Across the AFC the usual suspects are rising to the top of heap early in the season.

[Read more…] about Patriots Monday Morning Wakeup Call

Filed Under: Wakeup Call Tagged With: bills, broncos, jacoby brissett, jimmy garoppolo

Patriots Special Teams Report – Week 3 vs. Houston Texans

September 25, 2016 by Sam Hollister

What a win it was for the 3-0 Patriots, and this was the first time we saw the huge impact that Pro Football Focus’s second-ranked special teams unit can have on a game.

Instead of detailing one specific area, I decided to touch on several facets in which the Patriots excelled or had room for improvement because there was so much to discuss regarding special teams this week.

Of course, the work of the Patriots kickoff unit has to lead off. The Patriots were able to come up with two clutch turnovers that swung the game firmly in their favor, giving Jacoby Brissett the ball twice inside the Houston 25 yard line (both at times in which the game was still up for grabs).

[Read more…] about Patriots Special Teams Report – Week 3 vs. Houston Texans

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: ryan allen, Special Teams

Coffin Corner: The NFL’s Cynical 25-yard Touchback Rule

September 24, 2016 by James Conway

Today on Coffin Corner I want to talk about the NFL lead man’s #1 Concerns “player safety” and “concussions”. Or rather the notion that the owners and their leadership care one iota about player safety and concussions. And I want to do it through the lens of propaganda, that’s right, it’s a word that’s in the title of this website and it’s something the NFL uses to great effect.

In the interest of full disclosure, the issue of head trauma is pretty damn important to me, I wrote an episode of the medical drama “House” about repeated brain injury in professional hockey. I’ve seen its effects on normal people and it’s horrifying: anger, violent impulse control, varying degrees of early dementia; bad stuff.

To be clear, the Shield and its Dear Leader don’t care about fixing the ‘bad stuff’, they want you (and Moms) to think they care. That’s their problem, the message. And some of the recent drop-off in ratings may have something to do with this. They are currently losing the messaging war because intentional decisions that they’ve made are now part of the public record.

One of the ways that autocrats and dictators all over the world push their agendas is by muddying the waters on a particular issue. The goal is to confuse the public enough to allow their misdeeds, while giving them credit for things that they aren’t doing.

So if you, say, invade a sovereign country and the free world gets angry with you, the best way to weasel out is create confusion about what you are doing and who exactly is doing it or whether anything is even being done. So you’d, say, remove your army’s insignias and send conflicting reports to various media entities (including your own state controlled media) that are haplessly reported by a know-nothing press. The more time your adversaries debate the merits of your claims (and lies), the further seeded the lie becomes. It’s diabolical, but it’s real. This is truly the best way to understand the NFL’s information wars. For what it is, straight propaganda.

In the case of the NFL, they denied football is dangerous to its players and congress, used its “doctors” to discredit Bennett Omalu, created studies that directly contradict the science, all in an effort to brew a thick stew of nothingness to keep us all from seeing what’s really there. The NFL’s product on the field in its past and current iterations definitely causes traumatic brain injury and rather then trying to make it safer, they’d rather fight a semantic war, As we’ve seen with countless examples: Bounty, Deflategate, Ray Rice, Adrian Peterson, Greg Hardy (odd Josh Brown only got a game, i.e. one of these things is not like the other, no?), et al, this is how the league office and its owners operate. Get their message out at whatever cost to destroy the credibility of the people it targets. (Destroyed cellphones, anyone?)

And here is the problem, the NFL treats us for knuckle-headed fools, and unless your team has been directly affected by this garbage, you believe the schlock that Roger Goodell sells. I was horrified by BountyGate only to later realize that much of the contrary evidence was ignored. The NFL wanted a headline: “Sheriff Goodell cleans up pay-to-injure scheme”. Never mind, that video evidence of Anthony Hargrove was directly misunderstood. But they got their message out to their reporters, 12 in all, Peter King called the league’s evidence “compelling” (sound familiar?)  These guys are effective. This is straight dictator-style propaganda y’all.

So let’s investigate the latest in the information war:

As Greg Bedard laid out the new #RemakeRoger campaign is underway and the head of the NFL is now saying the word “safety” as much as he possibly can. Never mind that the fans watched the reigning MVP get positively annihilated on national television on opening night with at least three deliberate helmet-to-helmet hits. Never mind that the players still launch themselves at opponents’ temples whenever they can (not defending Edelman’s hit here). Never mind that each attempt to fix the game’s injuries has no teeth. But-but-but, Roger says “safety’s important.” So it’s a wash. Yes, unnecessary violence goes undeterred, but #WeCare. In fact, they just made an announcement: $100 Million investment in research to promote ‘safety’.

Let me know when the money is in the escrow account. Maybe they actually follow through, but I’d say without equivocation that this is a $100 million investment in PR not safety. You know how I know it’s bullshit because everything the NFL does is bullshit, that’s where we are at.

Take the league’s latest rule to address safety:

Move the touchback to the 25-yard line. Okay, a Band-Aid on a bruised brain, but let’s hear them out.

The NFL had three “goals”:

  1. Reduce the number of returned kick offs because they account for 23.4 percent of concussions (a number that has been reported so many times I can recite it in my sleep).
  2. Preserve the onside kick.
  3. Don’t completely eliminate the most exciting play in football.

As you can see, goals 1 and 3 are completely antithetical. And I’m torn. As a football fan, I like the kick off, as a human, I hate traumatic brain injury and as a Patriots fan, down by a score with less than 2 minutes, I want Gostkowski to be able to craft a gorgeous onside kick. I completely acknowledge it’s a tough problem.

But instead of taking a serious measure like moving the kick-off spot to the 40 or even 50-yard line, to diminish the impact of 22 players colliding at high velocities, and reduce that 23. 4% number (There’s that number again, never mind about the other 76.6%). The league enacted another in a series of half-measures to “protect its players”. The best way to know it’s bullshit is to listen to them tell it: Troy Vincent acknowledged the day they voted for the rule that it might backfire. Dean Blandino defended the decision saying that if we don’t like it, we’ll change it next year. (But pylon cameras need years of study, okay guys.) I mean, how transparently cynical is this? Yeah, we know it won’t work, but we can say we tried it for a year.

Jay Feely was ahead of this, but he found that NFL head coaches in the preseason were planning on using this to their advantage because that’s their job. They would kick high-arcing balls inside the goal-line, giving the coverage team time to get down and make a play. So instead of reducing the number of returns, we ended up with more forced returns, Bye Bye Goal # 1. And the nature of the high arcing kicks is that they’re essentially unreturnable because the coverage is waiting for the player inside the 10 when he makes his first move. Bye Bye Goal # 3.

In Bill Belichick’s week 1 film breakdown with Zo, he highlighted two plays where the Patriots pinned the Cardinals within the 15 as a result of the new rule. And we’ll see it again this week, the two biggest plays in the Texans game were the fumbles as a result of Belichick’s strategic playing of the new rule.

The Shield never errs on the side of caution, they err on the side of messaging: having Peter King or vested media outlets like CBS or NBC or ESPN who will continue to use the words “player safety” and “Roger Goodell” every time they reference the new kick-off rule. And next year when they definitely repeal this idiotic effort, they can say we tried, but Coach Belichick (the guy we all hate because he cheats) exploited a loophole. “The Hoodie is the reason this didn’t work, not us.” And leave with their hands in their pockets saying, “Nothing more we can do”.

If you want to impact player safety throw every player out of a game that uses his helmet as a weapon in a deliberate way (if you need to expand gamed rosters, fine).

Remember what happened to Bruins Center Marc Savard? That is MAYBE a 15-yard penalty in the NFL. Think about that. That “turn my head away, I can’t watch” cheap shot ruined his career. 15 Yards, no suspension, just a forgotten penalty and a light fine. And it’s over.

And the reason we take them at their word is because their propaganda game is high. It’s cynical, it’s wholly self-serving and it does absolutely nothing to protect the players. That’s what the NFL sanctions, every goddamned Sunday. And I watch, hoping the NFL will try to fix itself.

But I know that with Roger Goodell and the current leadership of owners, they’d rather scheme about off-field bullshit that looks like the Annexation of Crimea rather than on the field brilliance like “the Annexation of Puerto Rico”.

 

 

Filed Under: Uncategorized

The Best/Worst of the Week in Patriots – 9/24

September 24, 2016 by Nikolas Davos

jjwatt

JJ, your check bounced. Your landlord will be knocking first thing tomorrow. Don’t make him do it again.

belichick

What a game. What a night. What a week. It was truly a roller coaster, for Patriots fans and haters alike. I swear we heard it all this week: from the desperate, to the antagonistic, to the flat out shameful. I’ll try to keep it as chronological as possible, but bear with me.

[Read more…] about The Best/Worst of the Week in Patriots – 9/24

Filed Under: Best of the Week Tagged With: manish mehta, texans

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