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Patriots Gameplan: Week 14 at Dolphins

December 8, 2017 by Mike Dussault

Just two weeks ago the Patriots convincingly beat the Dolphins 35-17 and now they’ll travel to Miami for the rematch this weekend where the Monday Night Football betting odds are looking pretty favorable.

As someone who is primarily just rooting against injuries, things are always scary facing a team that has that DGAF attitude. And with the wounds from two weeks ago still fresh, there’s some added anxiety about this one. ‘Keep Suh away from Brady’s knees’ might be my only point of emphasis.

The 2017 Patriots are clicking on all cylinders and if they get through the next four games fully intact from where they are now, including getting Trey Flowers and Kyle Van Noy back to 100 percent, they’re very likely playing in another last-play Super Bowl. Do they have a fatal flaw? Every team does if they don’t play well. This isn’t the most talented front seven the Pats have ever had, but as always, they just make it work.

These final divisional games feel obligatory. Maybe the Pats have a sloppy game and blow it. They’ll lose one of these last four, but everyone expects it would be in Pittsburgh, (if at all).

Here’s the gameplan to get out of Miami with a win, and most hopefully, injury-free.

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[Read more…] about Patriots Gameplan: Week 14 at Dolphins

Filed Under: Gameplan Tagged With: dion lewis, dolphins, Rob Gronkowski

Can Rivers or Roethlisberger Finally Knock Off Brady Just Once in Playoffs?

December 7, 2017 by Mike Dussault

Philip Rivers and Ben Roethsliberger were both drafted in 2004 and both have gone on to Hall of Fame-worthy careers. But they’re a combined 2-14 against Tom Brady in their respected careers. With the Chargers surging and the Steelers atop the AFC it looks like Brady is on a collision course with one or maybe both of these veteran quarterbacks.

Whether or not Rivers or Roethelisberger can finally knock off Brady should be the defining story of the AFC playoffs. And it might be now or never for both.

Let’s take a closer look at how these two great quarterbacks have fared against the Patriots, and, perhaps more importantly, how Tom Brady has fared against their teams.

[Read more…] about Can Rivers or Roethlisberger Finally Knock Off Brady Just Once in Playoffs?

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: ben roethlisberger, chargers, Philip Rivers, steelers

Is Patriots’ Run Defense a Fatal Flaw? — Season Film Review

December 6, 2017 by Mike Dussault

While the Patriots defense has been trending up the last few games, I was surprised to see they had fallen from a mid-season 23rd-ranked run defense to 30th in Football Outsider’s DVOA, an analytic that weighs situation and opponent. This is of course about when Dont’a Hightower went on IR, so some drop-off should be expected but it hadn’t been all that glaring to me recently.

If they do have a bad run defense it hasn’t hurt them in the win column. Last week against the Bills they gave up their second-highest yardage total this season (183) and held them to three points. Opening night against the Chiefs (185) remains the highest and only time a team actually ran to victory over New England.

Yardage wise they’re 26th, yards-per-carry they’re 32nd.

So is this a real flaw for the Pats’ defense? Will LeVeon Bell be able to exploit it? Could the Steelers ride that to victory? Miami got a season-low 67 yards on the ground vs. New England and doesn’t look like they’ll do much more this Monday night.

Let’s take a closer look at some of the bigger running plays against and how much impact they had on the game.

[Read more…] about Is Patriots’ Run Defense a Fatal Flaw? — Season Film Review

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: all-22, bills, broncos, chiefs, defense, film analysis, steelers

PATSHOW Ep. 116 Pats/Bills Review and Pats/Dolphins Preview

December 5, 2017 by Mike Dussault

Here’s today’s episode of Patshow breaking down the Gronk suspension and the Bills win, along with a very special film analyst. Please like us and share!

If you enjoy Patshow and would like to see more of it please give our sponsor links below a click. That’s all it takes and every one helps, and it will help us expand and bring you even more fun content. Thank you!

Today’s Insert of the Week is brought to you by Dr. Scholl’s Athletic Series Running Insoles. My pick was Eric Lee for the second-straight week, showing up big against his former team.

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Electro Breakdown Zone brought to you by Energizer Ultimate Lithium. We were joined by 5-year old Campbell to break down what play sparked the Brady-McDaniels screamfest. http://bit.ly/2zVo6FW
#StillGoing

Filed Under: Patshow Tagged With: bills, dolphins, patshow

Pats Posits: Grind It Out Like We Always Do

December 4, 2017 by Mike Dussault

The Patriots systematically strangled the Bills on Sunday, once again leaning on Dion Lewis and Rex Burkhead on the ground to take the heat off of Tom Brady. It wasn’t a great 60 minutes, the penalties and sloppiness marred any positive vibes we might’ve had coming off a divisional win.

Now we get to weigh and debate Gronk’s punishment instead of the 10-2 Patriots team that will now play for the division title in Miami on Monday Night Football. Or maybe, if the Bills lose, they’ll already have it. Regardless, the Patriots’ juggernaut roars on and if Gronk has to sit a game (that keeps him away from a certain coach who won’t take his starters out of blowouts ;)) so be it.

As the Patriots’ regular season becomes less consequential with each passing week I’m always amazed how the conversation turns to a pile of bullshit. It becomes less about breaking down the game and more about things like when to take starters out and strength of schedule. Those are the kind of things the pundits will discuss and debate, meanwhile the fact that the Patriots are rolling again despite a bunch of injuries and turnover is just brushed under the rug. Everyone just expects it now, just like I expect to hear talk focusing on questionable minutiae like how good is Bill Belichick really at drafting in the second round. Sigh…

More on all that and the Pats’ 10th win of the season in the Posits.

Dion Lewis just killed a guy pic.twitter.com/uKwvzqo6dw

— Pete Blackburn (@PeteBlackburn) December 3, 2017

[Read more…] about Pats Posits: Grind It Out Like We Always Do

Filed Under: Pats Posits Tagged With: bills

Patriots Gameplan: Week 13 at Buffalo Bills

December 1, 2017 by Mike Dussault

 

The Patriots are back on the road this weekend, in the middle of playing five-of-six away from the friendly confines of Gillette Stadium. Of course when you’re undefeated on the road and haven’t lost there since late in the 2015 season maybe it isn’t such a bad thing.

The Patriots odds for Sundays game are once again unnervingly high.

This is arguably the toughest divisional game remaining this season. Though the Bills stumbled mightily two weeks ago with a sudden decision to yank Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo got back on track with a solid win over the Patriot-defeating Chiefs in Kansas City. That’s never an easy task. A win over the Patriots would put the Bills back in the playoff contender category and we’ve seen plenty of tight ones in Buffalo to expect a good game.

The Patriots’ biggest opponent in recent weeks has been their own injuries. That’s just where we’re at with this dynasty now. Staying healthy is all that really stands between them and how high their Super Bowl expectations are, and last week they were hit hard again, losing Nate Ebner and Martellus Bennett for the season. Luckily injuries to key cogs Trey Flowers and Kyle Van Noy do not appear to be serious.

Can the Pats keep their 13-game road win streak and seven-game overall win streak intact while putting an iron grip on the AFC East title? Here’s the gameplan to make it happen.

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[Read more…] about Patriots Gameplan: Week 13 at Buffalo Bills

Filed Under: Gameplan Tagged With: bills, dion lewis, mike gillislee

Brady’s Favorite Receiver (The Open One) Is Back!

November 30, 2017 by Mike Dussault

When Julian Edelman was lost for the season the first question on my mind was who was going to make the tough catches on third down. Brady had grown to depend on Edelman in the toughest spots. From 2013-2016, Edelman had 135 targets on third down, 40 more than second-place Rob Gronkowski.

If there was a player for defenses to key off of on third down, it was clearly Edelman. But now, without Edelman, the Patriots are spreading the ball around, with Brady becoming reacquainted with the days when his favorite receiver wasn’t Edelman or even Wes Welker, it was the open one.

Now the Patriots have a balanced third-down attack that has seen little regression from where things left off in 2016 with Edelman still tearing up the field.

Here’s how the 2016 season looked for third down targets.

[Read more…] about Brady’s Favorite Receiver (The Open One) Is Back!

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: brandin cooks, julian edelman, offense

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Notes on PFF’s Patriots grades: Week 7 Jets

Let’s try to dig into these rankings and see if we can find some positives: Best Offensive Grade: Sebastian Vollmer (3.8) Worst Offensive Grade: Brandon Lloyd (-3.3) Best Defensive Grade: Ron Ninkovich (4.0) Worst Defensive Grade: Vince Wilfork (-4.2) These Wilfork grades are really making me second guess how much weight I put into PFF’s […]

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