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December 29, 2011 by Mike Dussault

Despite the big games that Rodgers and Drew Brees had this week, it’s pretty clear that nobody will be breaking either Tom Brady’s record for the most passing DYAR in a season or Peyton Manning’s record for the highest passing DVOA in a season. Brees currently leads with 2,301 DYAR. Rodgers is second at 2,249 DYAR, and Brady is third at 2,141 DYAR. To catch up to Tom Brady’s 2,788 DYAR from 2007, Brees would need the biggest passing DYAR game in history in Week 17. Not going to happen. However, Brees could catch the 2,493 DYAR that Peyton Manning had in 2004. If the season ended today, Brees would have the fourth highest season all-time, Rodgers would be fifth, and Brady would be seventh. Unless he crashes in Week 17, Brady’s last four healthy seasons will all rank among the top eight passing DYAR seasons.

FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | Week 16 DVOA Ratings

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