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Analysis

What the Patriots still need and where they could find it

March 16, 2021 by Noel Powers

Source: forbes.com

WR
The Patriots made a splash day 1 of the tampering period signing Nelson Agholor and Kendrick Bourne to help bolster the wideout position. However, I am not sure that is going to be enough. With a cloud of uncertainty surrounding Edelman’s knee and his age the Patriots may be left without their security blanket in the passing game. I am not sure that Kendrick Bourne brings that much more to the table than what Meyers can provide, and N’Keal Harry’s lack of progression remains a cause for concern.

Instead, I expect the Patriots to draft a WR in rounds 2 or 3 of this year’s draft. Their draft history when it comes to WRs has been garbage, but fingers crossed that they hit this time around. A realistic free agent still on the market is Curtis Samuel. This is the deep threat that the Patriots current depth chart still lacks and brings plenty of versatility to the table. Someone that McDaniels can use all of the field similarly to Cordarelle Patterson. Golladay, Samuel, and Juju all are primed to get big pay days. I expect 2 out of those 3 listed above to sign with the Jaguars and Colts who are also in need of help at the wide receiver position. Keep an eye on Cordarelle Patterson or John Brown as potential signings for the Patriots.

DT
Former Patriots Lawrence Guy and Adam Butler are currently sitting on the free agent market while the Patriots made day 1 signings of Davon Godchaux and Henry Anderson. Personally, I believe that Godchaux was an overpay for someone that will fill the exact same role as Beau Allen. This may become a different story if the Patriots elect to release Allen. However, it is never a good sign when Godchaux’s Wikipedia profile is a picture of him playing softball with little mention of him playing football aside from injuries.

I expect the Patriots to bring back one of either Guy or Butler while Christian Barmore is becoming a more and more realistic pick at draft slot #15. Barmore can bring an up the middle pressure that none of our current interior defensive lineman are capable of producing. Solomon Thomas, DaQuan Jones, Kawann Short, and Derek Wolfe are all names to watch on the free agent trail.

LB
The Patriots did a nice job of going out and getting their guy in the form of Matt Judon at linebacker. He will immediately come in and improve the pass rush. A defensive linebacker lineup of Hightower, Judon, Uche, and Winovich has the potential to be lethal.

The linebacker group still could use one more piece before all is said and done. As I mentioned in a previous article both Micah Parsons and Zaven Collins would be great additions at pick #15. Another possibility is Dylan Moses out of Alabama in the second round. All of these picks would add a youth building block to learn behind Hightower and eventually be his successor. With Van Noy still on the market this reunion is a likely possibility.

QB
The Patriots resigned Cam Newton to a modest deal but still lack a pure succession plan. A potential reunion with Jimmy G is not off the table given the Patriots’ cap space flexibility. I still do not see them moving up in the first round or staying firm at #15 to draft a quarterback. A potential late round flyer on Kellen Mond or Jamie Newman remain possibilities. The 2022 draft board is loaded with a deep QB class and this Newton move could be a potential bridge move leading up to 2022 when the Patriots make a run with a dangerous roster and a high level QB on a rookie deal. With plenty of cap space remaining my top spots on the QB wish list go to Marcus Mariota and Jimmy G.

C
With David Andrew still being unsigned, center remains a need on the offensive line. Plan A is to resign Andrews to a long-term deal. He is a proven leader and knows the Patriots system. Plan B would be to sign Ted Karras to return to New England or Nick Martin. Both are experienced and could slide right in as the starting center. Look for them to draft a developmental piece on the interior offensive line as they potentially lost both Thuney and Andrews this offseason. Someone with versatility like Thuney and Karras that can play the center or the guard position.


Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: free agency

Diagnosis: Free Agency Fever

March 7, 2021 by Clare Cooper

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

With five guys on the defensive line hitting free agency, as well as let’s count, two quarterbacks, two running backs, two wide receivers, four pieces of offensive line a couple of linebackers, two cornerbacks, two safeties and a kicker (phew!) it’s no wonder we are starting to panic a little on how the Patriots are going to quell the bleeding this 2021 season. 

Sure it would seem that free agency is starting to heat up all over the NFL at the moment, with many teams struggling for cap space, there are some big cap casualties that are going to be hitting the market.

Of course not all gashes left in free agency need to be bandaged with a current NFL player, with just (at the time of writing this) 8 weeks from the draft, interest in the fresh young college talent is reaching fever pitch too.

Speculation is rife around the Patriots, and we all know a lot of that hinges on the fact that no one (well hopefully not NO ONE) knows who will be the starter at quarterback. If you go on simply signed at the moment the guy who throws the ball will either be Jarrett Stidham or Jake Dolegala……… and a lot of fans feel that’s a total flat line. Personally, my perspective is without giving him plenty of starting games, the true picture on Stid the Kid isn’t fully developed, but I know many disagree and that the very reasonable argument is if they thought he was good he would have played more…. that’s fair, still subject to argument that Cam Newton was an opportunity they just didn’t want to pass up. Ifs buts and candy and nuts I guess.

[Read more…] about Diagnosis: Free Agency Fever

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: free agency

Recent cuts around the NFL that could find their way to Foxboro

March 4, 2021 by Noel Powers

In recent days numerous NFL teams have begun to release players to begin saving against the tight Salary Cap this season ahead of the start of Free Agency. Some big names have crossed the transaction wire and with the Patriots holding a bounty of salary cap space this off season a few could find themselves on the Patriots roster next season. Let’s take a look at some potential fits.

Source: Sun-Sentinel.com

Kyle Van Noy – LB

The former Patriot was informed earlier this week that he would be released and there was immediate speculation about a potential return to Foxboro. While I think this is a likely scenario given our need at the position it must come at a reasonable price. The Patriots passed on paying him an inflated price tag once and I believe they would pass again if the price was not right. A veteran deal coming in at around $8 million per year would benefit both sides. A part of Van Noy’s game that developed late during his stint in Foxboro was his ability to play in coverage. This is an aspect that the Patriots defense desperately needs to improve upon. Keep an eye out for a potential reunion.

Golden Tate & Adam Humphries – WR

Both Wide Receivers were released by their respective teams this week in a Salary Cap savings campaign. However, both spit in the face of the Patriots during prior free agencies at a time when they would have had the opportunity to play with TB12 at QB. I do not envision the Patriots uncertainty at the Quarterback position helping their cause with these two and they are each that much older from when we initially tried to have them come aboard. I think that both of these Wide Outs are unlikely signings unless Edelman is unable to play this season and we push for Humphries to fill his role.

Nick Martin – C

An under the radar potential signing here. Nick Martin brings experience to the table and would be a solid replacement if the Patriots are unable to sign David Andrew. However, I believe that Andrews is extremely high up on their offseason priority list and expect him to be the Patriot’s starter at center next season. Martin was released by the Texans in an effort to rebuild the franchise, but he has plenty of game left.

Source: Jetswire.usatoday.com
[Read more…] about Recent cuts around the NFL that could find their way to Foxboro

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: free agents

What will the Patriots do at Pick #15?

March 3, 2021 by Noel Powers

The Patriots have 3 options when it comes to draft day:

Option A – Move Up

The least likely scenario of the three. The only way I envision this happening is if they fall in love with one of the top QB prospects not named Trevor Lawrence and move up to get their guy. This would come in the form of Wilson, Fields, Lance, or Jones. None of these guys are a sure thing like TLaw and it would require giving up too much draft stock. For example, moving up to pick #9 would likely require a package of picks that includes our 2021 second rounder and a late round swap. All of this from the coach that values draft picks above all else seems like a stretch.

Option B – Stay put and pick at #15

An unlikely scenario, but one possibility of us staying at 15 is if Penn State Linebacker Micah Parsons falls into our lap. Just a few months back Parsons was a sure top 10 pick but with some rumors of off the field issues circulating this is something to watch for come draft day. A tackling machine that plays a similar game to that of Devin White from the Bucs. He would be a great successor to Hightower and a defensive building block for the future. Parsons is a playmaker that is all over the field and seems to shine in big moments. However, given the other laundry list of needs that this Patriots team has this position may be addressed in Free Agency.

It's Time To Leave Micah Parsons Alone | Onward State
Source: onwardstate.com



Option C – Trade Back

This is the most likely scenario in my view. Bill has a history of trading back, especially early in the draft, to gain more capital. I see a situation where we trade back into the 18 – 22 range as perhaps the Colts or Titans move up to grab a falling talent. In the event that we do trade back there are two targets that stick out.

Zaven Collins – LB – Tulsa

Player to be Aware of: Tulsa Linebacker Zaven Collins
Source: SI.com


The first thing that sticks out about Collins is his freakish athleticism. He was a human highlight reel at Tulsa while racking up defensive awards. A player that could line up at multiple spots on defense including on the edge and drop back into coverage against Tight Ends or Running Backs. His usage would be similar to that of former Patriot Jamie Collins.

Christian Barmore – DT – Alabama

Jaguars mock draft: Alabama DT Christian Barmore's fit – The Athletic
Source: theathletic.com

The Saban to Foxboro pipeline strikes again! Barmore is the best pressure creating DT in the entire draft. Standing at 6-5 311 pounds Barmore is a day one difference maker that should see a significant amount of snaps as I only expect the Patriots to resign one of either Adam Butler or Lawrence Guy. This is the more likely play given our need at the position and some reinforcements coming back in the form of Hightower at the Linebacker position.


Only 57 days until Draft Day.

Filed Under: Analysis, Draft Tagged With: draft

Sunday Supplement 01/31

January 31, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

Whilst we’re still a ways from free agency and the Draft, there’s still plenty of movement in the NFL and with specific Patriots interest. Let’s dive into the current QB market for the Pats and five players who sparked in yesterday’s Senior Bowl.

QB Situation

I woke up this morning to the news that Detroit had traded Matthew Stafford to the LA Rams in return for Jared Goff, two first-round picks for 2022 & 2023, and a third-rounder for 2021.

Detroit is dealing QB Matthew Stafford to the Los Angeles Rams in exchange for two future first-round picks, a third-round pick and QB Jared Goff, per sources. Two former No. 1 overall picks trading places in the first blockbuster NFL trade of 2021.

— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) January 31, 2021

I knew a trade was set to be finalized before the Super Bowl as reports suggested, but I can’t believe how much LA gave up just to dump Goff’s cap and get rid of him. Detroit has Goff under contract now until 2024 along with an extra pick this year and two future first-rounders.

[Read more…] about Sunday Supplement 01/31

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: senior bowl, sunday supplement

Patriots FA’s – Who stays? Who leaves?

January 17, 2021 by Tom Shaw-Mellors

Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

With the yearly Draft hype underway, I thought it would be a good time to have a rundown of each of the team’s 25 free agents, and give my take on who should stay and who should go.

Future free agency and Draft content is on the way (including big boards and mock drafts), so keep an eye out!

LB Shilique Calhoun (UFA) – Leave

Think the team can find better options than Calhoun moving forward, along with continuing to rebuild the Linebacker group. I don’t think he should return.

WR Damiere Byrd (UFA) – Stay

Byrd had a solid year as he assumed the WR2 position, I didn’t expect him to play in that role when he signed a one-year deal last offseason. I can’t imagine Byrd will cost much more than what we signed him for previously, I’d take him back on another one-year deal.

DT Adam Butler (UFA) – Stay

Butler had ups and downs through-out the 2020 season, but, he was the team’s best pass rusher. If the Pats can agree on a new deal, I would like him to return and continue developing, think he has a bright future.

[Read more…] about Patriots FA’s – Who stays? Who leaves?

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: free agency, free agents

Report: Edelman to Miss Three Weeks with Thumb Injury

July 22, 2019 by Mike Dussault

Just as I was feeling pretty good about how things stacked up on the PUP, we get our very first bad news of the 2019 season with Julian Edelman expected to miss the opening weeks of training camp with a thumb injury.

Super Bowl MVP Julian Edelman, spotted at his youth camp over the weekend with a small brace over his left thumb (see below photo), is expected to be sidelined about three weeks due to the injury, league sources tell @FieldYates and me. pic.twitter.com/P5KT0hvRmz

— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) July 22, 2019

Usually a surprise injury report like this just days away from camp is a kick in the nuts but honestly, at this stage of Edelman’s career and where the Pats are at with receivers, it might be a blessing in disguise just as last year’s four-game suspension was for both the team and their most reliable receiver.

[Read more…] about Report: Edelman to Miss Three Weeks with Thumb Injury

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: juilian edelman

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