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10 Patriots Free Agency Targets

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It’s March!! We will officially change the football calendar over to 2018 this month with the start of the new league year and free agency on March 15th. The Patriots have plenty of internal moves to make before hitting the external market, but here are 10 guys that stuck out to me based on what I see the needs being after they make some cuts and new deals.

I could see the Patriots letting Nate Solder test the market, but he’s got to be the first priority and domino to fall. From there the running back and defensive front seven positions must be addressed. There’s some uncertainty at tight end as well, as the endless search for a perfect compliment to Rob Gronkowski continues.

While the Pats have made plenty of recent splashy signings in free agency, these names are primarily in the Pats’ wheelhouse — promising players who disappointed or got hurt, and vets maybe looking for one last shot at a ring. If the Pats do make a big move I’d hope it would be in the defensive front.

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2017 Pats Left More Questions Than Answers

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The strange turns of the 2017 spilled over into the offseason once again yesterday with Tom E. Curran writing that Rob Gronkowski was in fact unhappy with football this season dating all the way back to training camp. In retrospect this article from Ryan Hannable is even more interesting.

There were rumors of Gronk wanting to retire, to maybe give WWE a try instead, just after the Super Bowl but I mostly dismissed those as just being end-of-disappointing-year grumblings. But when taken as part of the big picture of the Pats 2017 season and it’s hard not to think things were different behind the scenes this year, no matter how much you do or don’t want to buy into the old Seth Wickersham piece, the rumors about Brady, Guerrero, Kraft, Belichick, Malcolm Butler and now even Curran’s piece about Gronk.

For the most part, fans want to dismiss these things because distrusting the media is all the rage these days, but there’s so much smoke from a variety of places that it feels like something most definitely was off with this team. Here we are, 17 years in, and the closest kind of contemptuous season to 2017 came in 2009.

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Too Many Cooks Takes: Was First-Year Receiver a Disappointment?

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rfZkaVPwOPE

I’ve tried to take a break from the old cycle of “reporter makes dumb take, everyone responds with outrage thereby giving said reporter the attention they’re looking for” but it hasn’t been easy the last couple of days. The pinnacle was Adam Jones’ take that re-signing Brandon Bolden was somehow a bad thing.

Now I could go off on how stupid this is in a longform article — how the Patriots must build a 90-man roster and a beloved veteran who’s a special teams stud and can fill in at any running back role at a veteran minimum salary is an easy slam dunk, but again, I’m trying to break the cycle and the only way to do that is not to play their game. That take wasn’t even based in football reality, but another one kind of was.

That take came from Ben Volin, who I also ignore for the most part, that the Pats should extend Brandin Cooks or, if he won’t play ball, cut him outright and re-allocate his $8.5 million cap hit. This was a jumping off point to debate how good Cooks really was in his first year with the Pats. On paper, 65 catches for 1082 yards and six touchdowns looks pretty damn solid, especially for a first-year receiver with the Patriots.

However I do think it’s a more nuanced discussion than simply slapping down Cooks’ stats and feeling great about his season. His arrival as a “deep threat” raised expectations for the offense, but without Julian Edelman, some fundamental flaws came to light over the course of the season, that Cooks couldn’t solve.

Let’s take a deeper look and ask if a thousand-yard season can be a disappointment?

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Pats Should Focus on Front Seven Like 2012 Draft

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With yesterday’s allocation of a fourth-round compensatory pick, the Patriots now have their draft capital set:

  • 1.31
  • 2.43 (via SF)
  • 2.63
  • 3.95
  • 4.136
  • 6.208

The Patriots have had their struggles high in the draft lately. Only Malcom Brown (2015), Dont’a Hightower (2012) and Nate Solder (2011) remain as first- or second-round players since 2011 who are still on the team and important pieces. Otherwise there have been extensive misses and even those that they did hit on were traded away. Throw in the missing Deflategate pick and there’s no question, the Patriots need to hit on some talent in this spring’s draft.

The ideal model? When they traded up twice in 2012’s first round to add Dont’a Hightower and Chandler Jones. The impact of those two picks was immediately felt in the 2012 season and set the stage for what would become a Super Bowl-winning defense in 2014. That’s the kind of infusion up front the Pats need once again.

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Patriots Over Investment in Secondary Didn’t Pay Off

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I started blogging about the Patriots around the time that the old dynasty defense was dying. The 2007 defense squeezed the last bit of life out of Rodney Harrison, Tedy Bruschi, Richard Seymour, Mike Vrabel and other supporting members who helped define the Pats teams of the 2000s. Then the retirements and departures began and I realized that if Tom Brady was to ever get four or more Super Bowls, Bill Belichick would have to build him a new defense, mostly from scratch.

It was fascinating to see them emerge from the depths of the 2010 defense that needed turnovers to survive, to the 2014 and 2016 Super Bowl-winning squads that made huge key plays under the most pressing circumstances. But there’s no denying that 2017 was a step backwards. Yes, injury attrition had a lot to do with that, but it was just as much a string of missed draft picks and decisions to cut ties with the picks they did hit on.

I really don’t want to kick a dead horse, but I can’t help but need to vent about how this all unfolded over the past few seasons. How did the Patriots go from having the most promising young defense in the league in 2014 to what’s looking like another rebuild in less than three seasons? But is this even a rebuild this time around? Let’s dive in.

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Patriots Internal Free Agents and Philosophy Re-Group

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As a rule I try not to jump into mock drafts or big name free agents as the offseason begins. The priority must start with the Patriots internal free agents because those holes would be best filled by players who have already been groomed in-house. Sometimes you hope that certain players make a leap otherwise you’re forced to dip into external free agency where you spend more for players you know less about.

But by now we know how the Pats operate — bargain free agents and mid-round draft picks. Don’t expect a monumental departure from that philosophy this season no matter how bad the defense looked in the Super Bowl.

Here are the current depth charts (not really in true depth-ranked order so don’t @ me!) and what the overall plan should be on both sides of the ball. Players likely to be cut have a strikethrough.

Offense

Holes — Left Tackle, Running Back

Strength — Quarterback, Wide Receiver

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Prayers For Any Quarterback the Pats Draft

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As everyone turns the page from head-scratching Super Bowl loss to the offseason, the focus is becoming increasing clearer that the expectation is the Patriots must draft Tom Brady‘s successor in a couple months.

Last year, we knew we were likely headed into the last season of the Brady-Jimmy Garoppolo duo, and barring something catastrophic, it was likely that Garoppolo would end up elsewhere. What we didn’t know, and should have, was that Garoppolo would be hung around the Patriots’ and their fan’s necks for the rest of his career. The questions of how much compensation the Pats should’ve gotten, of whether getting rid of Brady a few years early to get another 10 with Garoppolo was worth it, and so on.

As Patriots fans we’re stuck with Jimmy Garoppolo and his “woulda/coulda” relationship with the Patriots. But it’s not quite as bad as what is coming down the pike for the poor rookie signal caller who will be saddled with not only being the heir apparent to Brady but also have his career constantly compared to what Garoppolo does in San Francisco. The weight of those implications must be seriously considered by the Patriots.

Drafted quarterbacks are no strangers to pressure, especially when they’re taken high in the draft and immediately dubbed a franchise savior. The Patriots draftee will be in a different position, but one that will be almost more difficult.

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